Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Raiders              Coach  =   Conrad Bernatsky      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.5160370    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  (13- 7, 86.7)     4-11   
 328 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-16, 61.7)    19- 4   
 402 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 69.2)    15- 2   
 404 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 78.2)     7- 5   
 407 A Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  (11- 7, 85.8)     6- 7   
 410 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 80.1)     7- 6   
 412 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 79.3)    13- 6   
 416 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     2-14   
 418 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 71.5)    10- 3   
 420 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 93.5)     4-17   
 424 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.3)    11- 6   
 426 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 92.8)     2-13   
 504 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 92.6)     3-13   
 508 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 74.6)    11- 6   
 510 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.2)     5-10   
 512 H Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 77.9)     8- 5   
 517 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 76.7)    11-10   
 522 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 9, 79.6)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Kings Park              4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.43
   328 H Brentwood              19- 4      15    20           0.00
   402 A Copiague               15- 2      13    11           0.00
   404 A West Babylon            7- 5       2     2          -0.49
   407 A Mount Sinai             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.08
   410 H Commack                 7- 6       1     1          -0.99
   412 H Longwood               13- 6       7     2    ++     4.18
   416 A West Islip              2-14     -12   -19           0.00
   418 A Walt Whitman           10- 3       7     9    -     -2.28
   420 H Smithtown West          4-17     -13   -11           0.00
   424 H East Islip             11- 6       5     2    +      2.24
   426 A Ward Melville           2-13     -11   -12           0.00
   504 A Smithtown East          3-13     -10   -11           0.00
   508 A Middle Country         11- 6       5     6          -1.11
   510 H Sachem East             5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.90
   512 H Bellport                8- 5       3     4          -1.23
   517 A Connetquot             11-10       1     4    -     -3.03
   522 H William Floyd           4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 H William Floyd           4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.45
   322 H Kings Park              4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.43
   418 A Walt Whitman           10- 3       7     9    -     -2.28
   510 H Sachem East             5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.90
   517 A Connetquot             11-10       1     4    -     -3.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Mount Sinai             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.08
   412 H Longwood               13- 6       7     2    ++     4.18
   424 H East Islip             11- 6       5     2    +      2.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.41 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.05 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/