Conf =  Pooley                    Region = NJ    Grp-I            
   Nickname = J Patriots             Coach  =   Spencer Willard       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.3354874    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Somerville             NJ    Grp-I   ( 8-11, 71.1)     5- 2   
 405 A Morris Catholic        NJ    Grp-B   ( 4-13, 66.8)    11- 4   
 407 H Blair Academy          NJ    Private ( 6-10, 74.5)     8- 9  o
 411 H North Hunterdon        NJ    Grp-III ( 3-15, 76.7)     2- 5   
 413 H Vernon Township        NJ    Grp-III (11- 8, 79.3)     6- 8   
 414 H Watchung Hills         NJ    Grp-III (14- 4, 87.9)     0-16   
 418 A Bernards               NJ    Grp-I   (12- 7, 78.8)     5-13   
 421 H Mount Olive            NJ    Grp-II  ( 6-12, 70.6)    14- 3   
 424 A Pope John XXIII        NJ    Grp-B   (13- 5, 82.1)     5- 6   
 428 H Delaware Valley        NJ    Grp-I   (11- 8, 77.5)    10- 9   
 430 H Bergen Tech            NJ    Grp-IV  ( 1-16, 61.3)    18- 7   
 501 A Jefferson Twp          NJ    Grp-I   (15- 4, 83.7)     8-16   
 503 A Glen Rock              NJ    Grp-I   (14- 6, 80.0)     4- 7   
 509 A Voorhees               NJ    Grp-II  ( 5-12, 76.4)     4-17   
 517 A Dwight-Englewood       NJ    Grp-B   ( 5- 9, 70.6)     4-10   
 518 H DePaul Catholic        NJ    Grp-B   ( 4-14, 64.0)    14- 1   
 521 A Mount Olive            NJ    Grp-II  ( 6-12, 70.6)    11-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Somerville              5- 2       3     3          -0.34
   405 A Morris Catholic        11- 4       7     5           1.13
   407 H Blair Academy           8- 9  o   -1     0          -0.90
   411 H North Hunterdon         2- 5      -3    -2          -0.75
   413 H Vernon Township         6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.86
   414 H Watchung Hills          0-16     -16   -13           0.00
   418 A Bernards                5-13      -8    -6          -1.90
   421 H Mount Olive            14- 3      11     3    +++    6.19
   424 A Pope John XXIII         5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.43
   428 H Delaware Valley        10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.07
   430 H Bergen Tech            18- 7      11    13           0.00
   501 A Jefferson Twp           8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   503 A Glen Rock               4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.33
   509 A Voorhees                4-17     -13    -3    ---   -6.29
   517 A Dwight-Englewood        4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.11
   518 H DePaul Catholic        14- 1      13    10           0.00
   521 A Mount Olive            11-10       1     2          -1.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Voorhees                4-17     -13    -3    ---   -6.29
   517 A Dwight-Englewood        4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Mount Olive            14- 3      11     3    +++    6.19
   424 A Pope John XXIII         5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.43
   428 H Delaware Valley        10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.07
   503 A Glen Rock               4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.33
   413 H Vernon Township         6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.86
   501 A Jefferson Twp           8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.56 Local Power Rank...........    97
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.19 Local SOS Rank.............    97
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............   101
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    93
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   104
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/