Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Vince Shiffert        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.5349960    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (10-10, 92.1)    11-10   
 330 N Christian Bros         NY C  Sec 3   (21- 2, 95.1)     8-17   
 331 N South Jefferson        NY C  Sec 3   (10- 8, 83.8)    16-15   
 419 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 86.9)    14- 5   
 421 A Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   ( 7-13, 80.6)    19- 2   
 423 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 89.4)    16- 3   
 425 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 96.1)    11- 4   
 427 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 91.6)    17- 9   
 501 A Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 70.9)    19- 3   
 502 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 80.2)    19- 3   
 507 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)     9-10  o
 509 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 66.6)    22- 0   
 511 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 4, 96.2)    19- 7   
 512 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 81.0)    14- 0   
 516 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.1)    21- 7   
 519 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 86.8)    20-12   
 521 H Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 88.3)    15- 8   
 525 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.1)    20- 5   
 530 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 96.1)    13-14  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Amherst                11-10       1     6    --    -5.82
   330 N Christian Bros          8-17      -9     4          n/a  
   331 N South Jefferson        16-15       1    15          n/a  
   419 A Lancaster              14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   421 A Gowanda                19- 2      17    18           0.00
   423 H Clarence               16- 3      13    11           0.00
   425 H Frontier               11- 4       7     4    +      2.56
   427 A Williamsville North    17- 9       8     7           0.64
   501 A Jamestown              19- 3      16    28           0.00
   502 H Lockport               19- 3      16    20           0.00
   507 H Orchard Park            9-10  o   -1     0          -1.62
   509 H North Tonawanda        22- 0      22    33           0.00
   511 A Hamburg                19- 7      12     2    +++    7.31
   512 H Nichols                14- 0      14    19           0.00
   516 A West Seneca West       21- 7      14    14           0.00
   519 H Grand Island           20-12       8    13    -     -2.00
   521 H Timon St Jude          15- 8       7    12    -     -3.00
   525 H West Seneca West       20- 5      15    16           0.00
   530 H Frontier               13-14  o   -1     4    --    -5.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 N Christian Bros          8-17      -9     4    ---        
   331 N South Jefferson        16-15       1    15    ---        
   324 A Amherst                11-10       1     6    --    -5.82
   530 H Frontier               13-14  o   -1     4    --    -5.44
   519 H Grand Island           20-12       8    13    -     -2.00
   521 H Timon St Jude          15- 8       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Hamburg                19- 7      12     2    +++    7.31
   425 H Frontier               11- 4       7     4    +      2.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.73 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.50 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   35.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.195.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.0
/