Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Reds                 Coach  =   Bill Kirnie           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.4171143    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   (12- 8, 85.2)     5-14   
 331 A Mynderse Academy       NY C  Sec 5   ( 3-15, 70.8)    12- 8   
 402 H Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (16- 7, 95.7)     1-18   
 421 A Aquinas Institute      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9-10, 82.6)     5-17   
 423 A Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-15, 73.9)     7- 4   
 424 H Midlakes               NY C  Sec 5   ( 9-11, 77.8)     9- 7   
 427 A Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   (10-11, 78.8)     3- 9   
 501 A Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (17- 3, 98.8)     1-17   
 502 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   (12- 8, 85.2)     5-18   
 503 A Greece Odyssey/Athena  NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 73.7)    17- 4   
 505 H Bath-Haverling         NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-17, 68.6)    11- 4   
 507 H Mynderse Academy       NY C  Sec 5   ( 3-15, 70.8)    13-10   
 509 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10-10, 87.7)     2-15   
 511 A Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   (10-11, 78.8)     5-12   
 514 A Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (18- 5, 96.3)     3-17   
 515 H Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-15, 73.9)     6- 4   
 517 A Midlakes               NY C  Sec 5   ( 9-11, 77.8)    11-10   
 519 H Aquinas Institute      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9-10, 82.6)    10-17   
 523 A Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (18- 5, 96.3)     1-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Livonia                 5-14      -9    -9           0.04
   331 A Mynderse Academy       12- 8       4     5          -1.41
   402 H Penn Yan                1-18     -17   -17           0.00
   421 A Aquinas Institute       5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.58
   423 A Palmyra-Macedon         7- 4       3     2           0.75
   424 H Midlakes                9- 7       2     0    +      2.07
   427 A Waterloo                3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.36
   501 A Canandaigua             1-17     -16   -22           0.00
   502 H Livonia                 5-18     -13    -7    -     -2.55
   503 A Greece Odyssey/Athena  17- 4      13     2    +++    7.54
   505 H Bath-Haverling         11- 4       7     9    -     -2.19
   507 H Mynderse Academy       13-10       3     7    --    -4.00
   509 H Victor                  2-15     -13    -9          -0.11
   511 A Waterloo                5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.36
   514 A Geneva                  3-17     -14   -20           0.00
   515 H Palmyra-Macedon         6- 4       2     3          -1.85
   517 A Midlakes               11-10       1    -1    +      2.66
   519 H Aquinas Institute      10-17      -7    -4    -     -2.18
   523 A Geneva                  1-18     -17   -20           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Mynderse Academy       13-10       3     7    --    -4.00
   511 A Waterloo                5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.36
   421 A Aquinas Institute       5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.58
   427 A Waterloo                3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.36
   502 H Livonia                 5-18     -13    -7    -     -2.55
   505 H Bath-Haverling         11- 4       7     9    -     -2.19
   519 H Aquinas Institute      10-17      -7    -4    -     -2.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Greece Odyssey/Athena  17- 4      13     2    +++    7.54
   424 H Midlakes                9- 7       2     0    +      2.07
   517 A Midlakes               11-10       1    -1    +      2.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.96 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.07 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
/