Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Rebels               Coach  =   Marty Morgan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.1105423    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Pomperaug-Southbury    CT M          ( 7-10, 78.9)    16- 1   
 407 H Trumbull               CT L          (10- 9, 85.2)    12- 7   
 410 H Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 8- 9, 83.6)    20- 9   
 414 H Farmington             CT M          ( 9- 9, 79.8)    17- 4   
 419 A Avon HS                CT S          (12- 8, 84.6)    17- 9   
 420 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 3-13, 74.0)    15- 2   
 424 A New Milford            CT L          (18- 4, 95.4)    11- 9   
 426 H Immaculate Danbury     CT S          ( 1-13, 71.1)    14- 1   
 428 A Branford               CT M          (19- 4, 96.1)    13-16   
 501 A Weston                 CT S          (18- 3, 95.4)    11-16   
 503 A Brookfield             CT M          ( 6-11, 77.7)    20- 8   
 508 H Newtown                CT L          ( 5-11, 81.5)    15- 7   
 510 H Ridgefield             CT L          ( 8-10, 89.7)     9- 6   
 512 A Amity Regional         CT L          (14- 5, 91.1)    21-11   
 515 A Barlow-Redding         CT S          (16- 6, 92.5)    13-16   
 519 A Housatonic Valley      CT S          ( 7-10, 73.2)    19- 1   
 523 H Newtown                CT L          ( 5-11, 81.5)    10- 5   
 525 A Barlow-Redding         CT S          (16- 6, 92.5)    12-14   
 602 H Housatonic Valley      CT S          ( 7-10, 73.2)    22- 4   
 606 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          (14- 5, 86.9)    14- 3   
 607 N Weston                 CT S          (18- 3, 95.4)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Pomperaug-Southbury    16- 1      15    16           0.00
   407 H Trumbull               12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   410 H Masuk-Monroe           20- 9      11    11           0.00
   414 H Farmington             17- 4      13    15           0.00
   419 A Avon HS                17- 9       8     8          -0.41
   420 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   15- 2      13    19           0.00
   424 A New Milford            11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.36
   426 H Immaculate Danbury     14- 1      13    24           0.00
   428 A Branford               13-16      -3    -3           0.03
   501 A Weston                 11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.60
   503 A Brookfield             20- 8      12    15           0.00
   508 H Newtown                15- 7       8    13    -     -2.00
   510 H Ridgefield              9- 6       3     5    -     -2.55
   512 A Amity Regional         21-11      10     1    +++    8.11
   515 A Barlow-Redding         13-16      -3     0    -     -3.56
   519 A Housatonic Valley      19- 1      18    19           0.00
   523 H Newtown                10- 5       5    13    --    -5.00
   525 A Barlow-Redding         12-14      -2     0    -     -2.56
   602 H Housatonic Valley      22- 4      18    22           0.00
   606 H Northwest Catholic     14- 3      11     8           1.65
   607 N Weston                  8-11      -3    -1          -1.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Trumbull               12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   523 H Newtown                10- 5       5    13    --    -5.00
   501 A Weston                 11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.60
   508 H Newtown                15- 7       8    13    -     -2.00
   510 H Ridgefield              9- 6       3     5    -     -2.55
   515 A Barlow-Redding         13-16      -3     0    -     -3.56
   525 A Barlow-Redding         12-14      -2     0    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Amity Regional         21-11      10     1    +++    8.11
   424 A New Milford            11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.13 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.19 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.7
/