Region = NY A  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Chad Lakeman          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.0826035    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Northampton            MA 2          (11- 9, 91.0)     4- 9   
 411 H Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (12- 7, 95.1)     6- 7   
 413 A Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 5-12, 82.9)    14- 2   
 419 A Roosevelt Hyde Park    NY A  Sec 9   ( 9-10, 86.6)    16- 8   
 424 H Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 0-17, 72.6)    16- 0   
 426 H Wallkill               NY B  Sec 9   ( 6-11, 84.4)    14- 2   
 428 H O'Neill                NY C  Sec 9   (15- 4, 96.8)     9-15   
 501 H J.S. Burke Catholic    NY C  Sec 9   ( 2-13, 73.7)    18- 6   
 503 A Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (11- 8, 93.1)     7- 6   
 505 H Nanuet                 NY C  Sec 1   ( 3-13, 70.6)    11- 6   
 507 H Warwick Valley         NY A  Sec 9   (12- 6, 92.8)     9- 4   
 508 H Roosevelt Hyde Park    NY A  Sec 9   ( 9-10, 86.6)     7- 6   
 512 A Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 0-17, 72.6)    15- 3   
 514 A Warwick Valley         NY A  Sec 9   (12- 6, 92.8)    11- 9   
 515 A Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 4-12, 79.2)    12- 5   
 517 H Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (11- 8, 93.1)    14- 8   
 519 A Saugerties             NY B  Sec 9   (11- 8, 87.0)    11- 6   
 522 A Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (17- 2, 99.9)     8- 9   
 529 H Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (12- 7, 95.1)    13- 9   
 531 N Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (17- 2, 99.9)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Northampton             4- 9      -5     2          n/a  
   411 H Kingston                6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.32
   413 A Monroe-Woodbury        14- 2      12    10           0.00
   419 A Roosevelt Hyde Park    16- 8       8     7           0.82
   424 H Washingtonville        16- 0      16    23           0.00
   426 H Wallkill               14- 2      12    12           0.00
   428 H O'Neill                 9-15      -6     0    --    -5.59
   501 H J.S. Burke Catholic    18- 6      12    22           0.00
   503 A Valley Central          7- 6       1     0           0.27
   505 H Nanuet                 11- 6       5    25          n/a  
   507 H Warwick Valley          9- 4       5     3           1.37
   508 H Roosevelt Hyde Park     7- 6       1     9    ---   -8.78
   512 A Washingtonville        15- 3      12    21           0.00
   514 A Warwick Valley         11- 9       2     1           0.97
   515 A Newburgh Free Academy  12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00
   517 H Valley Central         14- 8       6     3    +      2.67
   519 A Saugerties             11- 6       5     6          -1.78
   522 A Pine Bush               8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.12
   529 H Kingston               13- 9       4     1    +      2.68
   531 N Pine Bush               7-11      -4    -4           0.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Northampton             4- 9      -5     2    ---        
   508 H Roosevelt Hyde Park     7- 6       1     9    ---   -8.78
   428 H O'Neill                 9-15      -6     0    --    -5.59
   505 H Nanuet                 11- 6       5    25    --         
   411 H Kingston                6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.32
   515 A Newburgh Free Academy  12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 A Pine Bush               8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.12
   517 H Valley Central         14- 8       6     3    +      2.67
   529 H Kingston               13- 9       4     1    +      2.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.08 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.60 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.255.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/