Region = MD 21 North            
   Nickname = D Mustangs             Coach  =   Dan Sageman           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.6565247    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Archbishop Curley      MD B  MIAA    (17- 1, 99.9)     4-16   
 327 H Atholton               MD 32 South   ( 7- 6, 84.0)     5- 7   
 330 A Wilde Lake             MD 32 South   ( 6-10, 80.7)     4- 9   
 407 A CM Wright              MD 43 South   ( 6-10, 82.5)     4-16   
 407 N Wilde Lake             MD 32 South   ( 6-10, 80.7)     5- 7   
 410 A Reservoir              MD 32 South   ( 2-11, 76.4)    11- 7   
 413 H Long Reach             MD 32 South   ( 1-12, 69.4)    13- 5   
 417 H Hammond                MD 32 South   ( 7- 7, 81.6)    10-13   
 420 A Howard                 MD 32 South   ( 9- 6, 88.2)     6-19   
 424 A Glenelg HS             MD 32 South   (15- 3, 93.3)     2-19   
 426 A Oakland Mills          MD 21 North   ( 1-13, 67.0)    16- 2   
 501 H Mount Hebron           MD 32 South   (12- 6, 92.1)     5-18   
 505 H River Hill             MD 32 South   (12- 4, 89.3)     7-15   
 507 A Winters Mill           MD 21 West    (19- 0, 97.8)     0-13   
 512 A Loch Raven             MD 21 North   ( 4- 9, 78.2)    11- 4   
 514 A Edmondson              MD 21 North   ( 8- 5, 72.6)    16- 4   
 516 H Pikesville             MD 21 North   ( 6-11, 77.6)    13- 8   
 519 N Parkside               MD 21 East    (17- 1, 94.5)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Archbishop Curley       4-16     -12   -20          n/a  
   327 H Atholton                5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.08
   330 A Wilde Lake              4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.26
   407 A CM Wright               4-16     -12    -4    --    -5.44
   407 N Wilde Lake              5- 7      -2    -2           0.24
   410 A Reservoir              11- 7       4     1    +      2.47
   413 H Long Reach             13- 5       8     9          -1.50
   417 H Hammond                10-13      -3    -2          -0.32
   420 A Howard                  6-19     -13   -10           0.00
   424 A Glenelg HS              2-19     -17   -15           0.00
   426 A Oakland Mills          16- 2      14    10           0.00
   501 H Mount Hebron            5-18     -13   -13           0.00
   505 H River Hill              7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   507 A Winters Mill            0-13     -13   -19           0.00
   512 A Loch Raven             11- 4       7     0    +++    7.28
   514 A Edmondson              16- 4      12     5    ++     4.65
   516 H Pikesville             13- 8       5     1    +      3.64
   519 N Parkside                5- 7      -2   -16    +++    8.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A CM Wright               4-16     -12    -4    --    -5.44
   330 A Wilde Lake              4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Loch Raven             11- 4       7     0    +++    7.28
   519 N Parkside                5- 7      -2   -16    +++    8.00
   514 A Edmondson              16- 4      12     5    ++     4.65
   327 H Atholton                5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.08
   410 A Reservoir              11- 7       4     1    +      2.47
   505 H River Hill              7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   516 H Pikesville             13- 8       5     1    +      3.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.42 Local Power Rank...........    65
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.46 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    76
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    79
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    99
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/