Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Russ Mooney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.0779953    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Agawam                 MA 2          ( 1-17, 77.5)    14- 1   
 405 H Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          ( 3-15, 81.4)    14- 4   
 410 A East Longmeadow        MA 2          ( 6-12, 85.8)    11- 3   
 414 A Algonquin              MA 2          (13- 9, 92.4)    11- 1   
 417 H West Springfield       MA 2          ( 7-11, 86.8)    17- 7   
 418 H Avon Old Farms         NE 1  West    (12- 3, 92.9)     5-16   
 424 H South Hadley           MA 2          (16- 5, 98.6)     4- 5   
 430 A Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    (11- 8, 90.1)     9-16   
 502 H Northampton            MA 2          (11- 9, 91.0)    14- 8   
 503 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (12- 8, 93.4)    14-11   
 508 H Longmeadow             MA 2          (17- 6, 99.9)     7- 8   
 510 H Westfield              MA 2          (13- 9, 94.0)    10- 4   
 515 A South Hadley           MA 2          (16- 5, 98.6)     8- 4   
 519 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (18- 3, 99.9)    10-11  o
 522 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (12- 8, 93.4)     6- 5   
 525 A Longmeadow             MA 2          (17- 6, 99.9)     6- 8   
 529 A Westfield              MA 2          (13- 9, 94.0)    16- 7   
 606 H St Joseph Central      MA 2          (11- 8, 88.6)    12- 7   
 608 A South Hadley           MA 2          (16- 5, 98.6)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Agawam                 14- 1      13    18           0.00
   405 H Cathedral Springfield  14- 4      10    16           0.00
   410 A East Longmeadow        11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   414 A Algonquin              11- 1      10     3          n/a  
   417 H West Springfield       17- 7      10    11           0.00
   418 H Avon Old Farms          5-16     -11     4          n/a  
   424 H South Hadley            4- 5      -1     0          -0.28
   430 A Northfield Mt Hermon    9-16      -7     6          n/a  
   502 H Northampton            14- 8       6     6          -0.84
   503 H Amherst-Pelham         14-11       3     4          -1.48
   508 H Longmeadow              7- 8      -1    -2           1.06
   510 H Westfield              10- 4       6     3    +      2.12
   515 A South Hadley            8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.68
   519 H St Johns Shrewsbury    10-11  o   -1    -2          n/a  
   522 A Amherst-Pelham          6- 5       1     2          -1.52
   525 A Longmeadow              6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.02
   529 A Westfield              16- 7       9     1    +++    7.08
   606 H St Joseph Central      12- 7       5     9    --    -4.23
   608 A South Hadley           11-12      -1    -2           1.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Avon Old Farms          5-16     -11     4    ---        
   430 A Northfield Mt Hermon    9-16      -7     6    ---        
   606 H St Joseph Central      12- 7       5     9    --    -4.23
   410 A East Longmeadow        11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Algonquin              11- 1      10     3    +++        
   515 A South Hadley            8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.68
   529 A Westfield              16- 7       9     1    +++    7.08
   510 H Westfield              10- 4       6     3    +      2.12
   525 A Longmeadow              6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.86 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.85 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.220.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/