Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-I            
   Nickname = J Warriors             Coach  =   Mike Dowd             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.5206451    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 3, 83.1)     5-13   
 405 H Colt's Neck            NJ    Grp-III (17- 3, 83.7)     1- 7   
 409 A Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-12, 62.5)    19- 6   
 410 H Jackson Memorial       NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7- 7, 74.6)    11- 7   
 418 H St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 6- 8, 71.0)    13- 7   
 421 H Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 7- 8, 73.6)    12-11   
 423 H Barnegat Township      NJ    Grp-I   ( 1-15, 58.8)    16- 2   
 426 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 9- 8, 78.1)    13-11   
 428 A Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-11, 70.8)     9- 7   
 430 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (13- 4, 85.3)     7-11   
 501 H Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  (10- 5, 79.9)    12-10   
 504 A St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 8- 7, 79.0)    12-21   
 507 H Wall Township          NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-11, 70.4)    10- 6   
 511 H Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 9- 7, 75.8)    13-12   
 514 A Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 3, 83.1)     5-15   
 517 A Moorestown             NJ    Grp-II  (10- 7, 85.3)     4-15   
 521 H Allentown              NJ    Grp-I   ( 9- 7, 74.5)     8- 6   
 523 A Madison Boro           NJ    Grp-I   (20- 2, 95.9)     0-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Toms River North        5-13      -8    -7          -0.87
   405 H Colt's Neck             1- 7      -6    -5          -0.06
   409 A Marlboro               19- 6      13    13           0.00
   410 H Jackson Memorial       11- 7       4     3           0.80
   418 H St John Vianney        13- 7       6     6          -0.80
   421 H Toms River East        12-11       1     4    -     -3.14
   423 H Barnegat Township      16- 2      14    19           0.00
   426 A Red Bank Catholic      13-11       2    -2    ++     4.07
   428 A Southern Regional       9- 7       2     5    -     -3.18
   430 H Rumson-Fair Haven       7-11      -4    -7    +      3.50
   501 H Red Bank Regional      12-10       2    -2    ++     4.14
   504 A St Rose Belmar         12-21      -9    -3    --    -6.00
   507 H Wall Township          10- 6       4     7    -     -3.33
   511 H Freehold Township      13-12       1     2          -1.01
   514 A Toms River North        5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.87
   517 A Moorestown              4-15     -11    -9          -0.72
   521 H Allentown               8- 6       2     3          -1.31
   523 A Madison Boro            0-13     -13   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A St Rose Belmar         12-21      -9    -3    --    -6.00
   421 H Toms River East        12-11       1     4    -     -3.14
   428 A Southern Regional       9- 7       2     5    -     -3.18
   507 H Wall Township          10- 6       4     7    -     -3.33
   514 A Toms River North        5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Red Bank Catholic      13-11       2    -2    ++     4.07
   501 H Red Bank Regional      12-10       2    -2    ++     4.14
   430 H Rumson-Fair Haven       7-11      -4    -7    +      3.50
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.89 Local Power Rank...........    79
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.17 Local SOS Rank.............    65
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    69
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/