Conf =  Catholic                  Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Rick Mazzei           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2685623    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (10-11, 87.3)    12- 2   
 402 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA 3          (10-10, 83.4)    13- 9   
 407 N Beverly                MA 1          (17- 5, 93.0)     5- 6   
 410 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (22- 1, 99.9)     6-13   
 411 H Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (12- 8, 92.5)     3-17   
 414 H LaSalle Academy        RI    Div-1   ( 8- 9, 88.5)    13-11   
 421 A Plymouth-Whitemarsh    PA    SubAmer (12- 5, 86.5)     6-10   
 427 A Boston College HS      MA 1          (15- 5, 94.6)     4- 9   
 430 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (12- 8, 92.5)     7- 5   
 503 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (22- 1, 99.9)     3-11   
 505 A Peabody                MA 1          (13- 6, 90.9)     6-11   
 507 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (12- 8, 92.5)     3-13   
 509 A Bishop Hendricken      RI    Div-1   (16- 2, 99.9)     3-16   
 515 H Boston College HS      MA 1          (15- 5, 94.6)     5-12   
 517 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (12- 8, 92.5)     6-14   
 519 H Chelmsford             MA 1          (13-10, 88.6)     7- 9   
 521 H Arlington              MA 2          (13- 7, 89.4)     5- 4   
 524 A St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (18- 3, 99.9)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Acton Boxborough       12- 2      10    -2    +++   12.24
   402 H Hamilton-Wenham        13- 9       4     1    +      2.34
   407 N Beverly                 5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.84
   410 A Xaverian Bros           6-13      -7   -16    +      3.00
   411 H Catholic Memorial       3-17     -14    -7    -     -2.54
   414 H LaSalle Academy        13-11       2    -3          n/a  
   421 A Plymouth-Whitemarsh     6-10      -4    -3          n/a  
   427 A Boston College HS       4- 9      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   430 H St Johns Prep Danvers   7- 5       2    -7    +++    9.40
   503 H Xaverian Bros           3-11      -8   -14    +      2.00
   505 A Peabody                 6-11      -5    -7    +      2.76
   507 A Catholic Memorial       3-13     -10    -9          -0.66
   509 A Bishop Hendricken       3-16     -13   -16          n/a  
   515 H Boston College HS       5-12      -7    -9    +      2.53
   517 A St Johns Prep Danvers   6-14      -8    -9           1.27
   519 H Chelmsford              7- 9      -2    -3           1.55
   521 H Arlington               5- 4       1    -4    ++     5.29
   524 A St Johns Shrewsbury     8-11      -3   -16          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Catholic Memorial       3-17     -14    -7    -     -2.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Acton Boxborough       12- 2      10    -2    +++   12.24
   407 N Beverly                 5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.84
   430 H St Johns Prep Danvers   7- 5       2    -7    +++    9.40
   524 A St Johns Shrewsbury     8-11      -3   -16    +++        
   414 H LaSalle Academy        13-11       2    -3    ++         
   427 A Boston College HS       4- 9      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   521 H Arlington               5- 4       1    -4    ++     5.29
   402 H Hamilton-Wenham        13- 9       4     1    +      2.34
   410 A Xaverian Bros           6-13      -7   -16    +      3.00
   503 H Xaverian Bros           3-11      -8   -14    +      2.00
   505 A Peabody                 6-11      -5    -7    +      2.76
   515 H Boston College HS       5-12      -7    -9    +      2.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.12 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.88 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    71
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    46
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/