Conf =  FND                       Region = NE 1  West             
   Nickname = T Pelicans             Coach  =   Jim Wilson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0542984    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Trinity-Pawling        NE 1  West    ( 9- 8, 86.1)     8- 4   
 407 H Brunswick School       NE 1  West    ( 7- 7, 88.2)    11- 7   
 414 A Albany Academy         NE 1  West    ( 2-10, 68.3)    19- 0   
 416 H Pomfret                NE    East-1  (13- 3, 96.1)    10- 5   
 418 A Kent School            NE 1  West    ( 4-12, 78.4)    13- 5   
 421 H Salisbury School       NE 1  West    (11- 5, 92.3)    11- 9   
 425 A Deerfield              NE 1  West    (15- 0, 99.9)     6-11   
 428 A Phillips Exeter        NE    East-1  (10- 6, 94.8)     1- 5   
 502 H Westminster School     NE 1  West    (10- 4, 91.6)     5- 9   
 505 H Phillips Andover       NE    East-1  ( 9- 5, 93.0)     9- 5   
 509 H Williston Northampton  NE 2  West    ( 9- 4, 96.8)    16- 3   
 512 A Taft School            NE 1  West    ( 3-10, 80.2)    13- 9   
 516 A Choate                 NE 1  West    ( 6- 8, 86.1)     5- 6   
 519 A Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    (11- 8, 90.1)    14- 9   
 523 H Avon Old Farms         NE 1  West    (12- 3, 92.9)     5- 6  o
 526 H Hotchkiss              NE 1  West    (10- 3, 91.4)     9- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Trinity-Pawling         8- 4       4     5          -1.22
   407 H Brunswick School       11- 7       4     3           0.11
   414 A Albany Academy         19- 0      19    22           0.00
   416 H Pomfret                10- 5       5    -3          n/a  
   418 A Kent School            13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   421 H Salisbury School       11- 9       2     0    +      2.25
   425 A Deerfield               6-11      -5    -8    +      3.62
   428 A Phillips Exeter         1- 5      -4    -3          n/a  
   502 H Westminster School      5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.47
   505 H Phillips Andover        9- 5       4     0          n/a  
   509 H Williston Northampton  16- 3      13    -4          n/a  
   512 A Taft School            13- 9       4    11    ---   -6.00
   516 A Choate                  5- 6      -1     5    ---   -6.19
   519 A Northfield Mt Hermon   14- 9       5     1    +      3.83
   523 H Avon Old Farms          5- 6  o   -1     0          -0.19
   526 H Hotchkiss               9- 6       3     0    +      2.28

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Taft School            13- 9       4    11    ---   -6.00
   516 A Choate                  5- 6      -1     5    ---   -6.19
   502 H Westminster School      5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.47
   418 A Kent School            13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Pomfret                10- 5       5    -3    +++        
   509 H Williston Northampton  16- 3      13    -4    +++        
   505 H Phillips Andover        9- 5       4     0    ++         
   421 H Salisbury School       11- 9       2     0    +      2.25
   425 A Deerfield               6-11      -5    -8    +      3.62
   519 A Northfield Mt Hermon   14- 9       5     1    +      3.83
   526 H Hotchkiss               9- 6       3     0    +      2.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.68 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.04 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/