Region = NY C  Sec 8            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Gerry Fay             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.3894348    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 8-11, 82.6)    14- 9   
 327 H East Meadow            NY A  Sec 8   ( 5-11, 81.5)     9- 8   
 404 A Long Beach             NY A  Sec 8   (14- 4, 96.5)     5-16   
 407 A Bellmore JFK           NY B  Sec 8   ( 8- 8, 84.3)    12-13   
 411 H Clarke                 NY B  Sec 8   ( 4-11, 77.5)    17- 7   
 413 H Kellenberg             NY    Cath    ( 6-13, 85.3)     7- 5   
 414 A Mineola                NY C  Sec 8   ( 7- 9, 80.2)    13-12   
 417 H Manhasset              NY C  Sec 8   (13- 4, 97.8)     8-17   
 420 A Cold Spring Harbor     NY C  Sec 8   (17- 2, 98.2)     1-10   
 421 A Somers                 NY B  Sec 1   (17- 4, 93.2)     8-10   
 425 H Friends Academy        NY C  Sec 8   (10- 5, 89.5)    10-11 2o
 430 A Glen Cove              NY B  Sec 8   ( 5-11, 78.7)    15- 8   
 502 A Bethpage               NY B  Sec 8   (10- 8, 89.3)     9-13   
 504 H Wantagh                NY B  Sec 8   ( 9-10, 88.7)     8- 9 2o
 509 A Floral Park            NY B  Sec 8   (12- 5, 93.1)     6-14   
 512 H North Shore            NY C  Sec 8   ( 9- 8, 85.8)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A St Mary's              14- 9       5     0          n/a  
   327 H East Meadow             9- 8       1     4    -     -3.19
   404 A Long Beach              5-16     -11   -13           0.00
   407 A Bellmore JFK           12-13      -1     0          -0.07
   411 H Clarke                 17- 7      10     8           1.84
   413 H Kellenberg              7- 5       2     0          n/a  
   414 A Mineola                13-12       1     3    -     -2.24
   417 H Manhasset               8-17      -9   -12           1.00
   420 A Cold Spring Harbor      1-10      -9   -14           1.00
   421 A Somers                  8-10      -2    -9          n/a  
   425 H Friends Academy        10-11 2o   -1    -3    +      2.85
   430 A Glen Cove              15- 8       7     4    +      2.33
   502 A Bethpage                9-13      -4    -5           1.88
   504 H Wantagh                 8- 9 2o   -1    -3    +      2.06
   509 A Floral Park             6-14      -8    -9           1.65
   512 H North Shore             6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H East Meadow             9- 8       1     4    -     -3.19
   414 A Mineola                13-12       1     3    -     -2.24
   512 H North Shore             6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Somers                  8-10      -2    -9    +++        
   322 A St Mary's              14- 9       5     0    ++         
   425 H Friends Academy        10-11 2o   -1    -3    +      2.85
   430 A Glen Cove              15- 8       7     4    +      2.33
   504 H Wantagh                 8- 9 2o   -1    -3    +      2.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.54 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.64 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/