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Region = OH 1 Reg 4 Nickname = H Firebirds Coach = Dave ReedGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.0919189 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 330 A Kings OH 1 Reg 4 ( 3-10, 78.3) 5- 2 405 H Cincinnati Cou Day OH 2 Reg 4 (13- 9, 93.4) 9- 5 407 H Toledo St John's OH 1 Reg 1 (13- 9, 89.9) 5- 9 418 H Loveland OH 4 South (12- 7, 90.2) 10- 5 420 H Summit Country Day OH 2 Reg 4 ( 2-13, 81.9) 11- 4 421 A Westerville South OH 1 Reg 2 ( 7-11, 82.7) 9-10 424 H Little Miami OH 4 South ( 6-10, 78.7) 17- 3 425 A Mason OH 1 Reg 4 ( 2-12, 75.3) 10- 6 427 A Cincinnati Sycamore OH 1 Reg 4 ( 8-10, 86.4) 6- 5 502 H Cincinnati St Xavier OH 1 Reg 4 (15- 6, 94.0) 6- 9 504 H Fenwick OH 2 Reg 4 ( 7- 6, 88.8) 15- 5 508 A Archbishop Moeller OH 1 Reg 4 (16- 5, 94.2) 10-15 512 H Cincinnati Sycamore OH 1 Reg 4 ( 8-10, 86.4) 14- 7 515 A Mariemont OH 2 Reg 4 (14- 4, 99.9) 4- 7 518 H Cincinnati Indian Hill OH 1 Reg 4 (11- 6, 92.6) 7- 8 2o 522 H Cincinnati Sycamore OH 1 Reg 4 ( 8-10, 86.4) 9- 7 525 A Archbishop Moeller OH 1 Reg 4 (16- 5, 94.2) 8-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 A Kings 5- 2 3 8 -- -5.73 405 H Cincinnati Cou Day 9- 5 4 -4 n/a 407 H Toledo St John's 5- 9 -4 -2 -1.69 418 H Loveland 10- 5 5 -1 n/a 420 H Summit Country Day 11- 4 7 6 n/a 421 A Westerville South 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.32 424 H Little Miami 17- 3 14 9 n/a 425 A Mason 10- 6 4 11 --- -6.00 427 A Cincinnati Sycamore 6- 5 1 0 0.34 502 H Cincinnati St Xavier 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.43 504 H Fenwick 15- 5 10 0 n/a 508 A Archbishop Moeller 10-15 -5 -7 + 2.20 512 H Cincinnati Sycamore 14- 7 7 1 ++ 5.84 515 A Mariemont 4- 7 -3 -13 n/a 518 H Cincinnati Indian Hill 7- 8 2o -1 -5 ++ 4.06 522 H Cincinnati Sycamore 9- 7 2 1 0.84 525 A Archbishop Moeller 8-10 -2 -7 ++ 5.20UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Mason 10- 6 4 11 --- -6.00 330 A Kings 5- 2 3 8 -- -5.73 421 A Westerville South 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.32OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Cincinnati Cou Day 9- 5 4 -4 +++ 418 H Loveland 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 504 H Fenwick 15- 5 10 0 +++ 515 A Mariemont 4- 7 -3 -13 +++ 512 H Cincinnati Sycamore 14- 7 7 1 ++ 5.84 518 H Cincinnati Indian Hill 7- 8 2o -1 -5 ++ 4.06 525 A Archbishop Moeller 8-10 -2 -7 ++ 5.20 502 H Cincinnati St Xavier 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.43 508 A Archbishop Moeller 10-15 -5 -7 + 2.20/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.30 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 73.06 Local SOS Rank............. 23 Local RPI Rating......... 0.42 Local RPI Rank............. 24 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 19 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 20 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3