Region = OH 1  Reg 4            
   Nickname = H Firebirds            Coach  =   Dave Reed             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0919189    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Kings                  OH 1  Reg 4   ( 3-10, 78.3)     5- 2   
 405 H Cincinnati Cou Day     OH 2  Reg 4   (13- 9, 93.4)     9- 5   
 407 H Toledo St John's       OH 1  Reg 1   (13- 9, 89.9)     5- 9   
 418 H Loveland               OH 4  South   (12- 7, 90.2)    10- 5   
 420 H Summit Country Day     OH 2  Reg 4   ( 2-13, 81.9)    11- 4   
 421 A Westerville South      OH 1  Reg 2   ( 7-11, 82.7)     9-10   
 424 H Little Miami           OH 4  South   ( 6-10, 78.7)    17- 3   
 425 A Mason                  OH 1  Reg 4   ( 2-12, 75.3)    10- 6   
 427 A Cincinnati Sycamore    OH 1  Reg 4   ( 8-10, 86.4)     6- 5   
 502 H Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  Reg 4   (15- 6, 94.0)     6- 9   
 504 H Fenwick                OH 2  Reg 4   ( 7- 6, 88.8)    15- 5   
 508 A Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  Reg 4   (16- 5, 94.2)    10-15   
 512 H Cincinnati Sycamore    OH 1  Reg 4   ( 8-10, 86.4)    14- 7   
 515 A Mariemont              OH 2  Reg 4   (14- 4, 99.9)     4- 7   
 518 H Cincinnati Indian Hill OH 1  Reg 4   (11- 6, 92.6)     7- 8 2o
 522 H Cincinnati Sycamore    OH 1  Reg 4   ( 8-10, 86.4)     9- 7   
 525 A Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  Reg 4   (16- 5, 94.2)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Kings                   5- 2       3     8    --    -5.73
   405 H Cincinnati Cou Day      9- 5       4    -4          n/a  
   407 H Toledo St John's        5- 9      -4    -2          -1.69
   418 H Loveland               10- 5       5    -1          n/a  
   420 H Summit Country Day     11- 4       7     6          n/a  
   421 A Westerville South       9-10      -1     4    --    -5.32
   424 H Little Miami           17- 3      14     9          n/a  
   425 A Mason                  10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   427 A Cincinnati Sycamore     6- 5       1     0           0.34
   502 H Cincinnati St Xavier    6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.43
   504 H Fenwick                15- 5      10     0          n/a  
   508 A Archbishop Moeller     10-15      -5    -7    +      2.20
   512 H Cincinnati Sycamore    14- 7       7     1    ++     5.84
   515 A Mariemont               4- 7      -3   -13          n/a  
   518 H Cincinnati Indian Hill  7- 8 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.06
   522 H Cincinnati Sycamore     9- 7       2     1           0.84
   525 A Archbishop Moeller      8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Mason                  10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   330 A Kings                   5- 2       3     8    --    -5.73
   421 A Westerville South       9-10      -1     4    --    -5.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Cincinnati Cou Day      9- 5       4    -4    +++        
   418 H Loveland               10- 5       5    -1    +++        
   504 H Fenwick                15- 5      10     0    +++        
   515 A Mariemont               4- 7      -3   -13    +++        
   512 H Cincinnati Sycamore    14- 7       7     1    ++     5.84
   518 H Cincinnati Indian Hill  7- 8 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.06
   525 A Archbishop Moeller      8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.20
   502 H Cincinnati St Xavier    6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.43
   508 A Archbishop Moeller     10-15      -5    -7    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.30 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.06 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/