Conf =  OSHLN1                    Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Jay Graham            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.3662872    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   ( 3-17, 79.4)    13- 2   
 403 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 81.6)     7- 8  o
 405 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (16- 5, 92.7)     7- 8   
 410 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (22- 1, 99.9)     6-15   
 413 H Essex Junction         VT 1  NVAC    (13- 5, 97.7)    19- 9   
 414 H Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (14- 5, 91.0)    10-12   
 417 H Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-12, 77.7)    17-12   
 419 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   (10- 9, 88.7)    11- 5   
 420 A Nottingham             NY B  Sec 3   ( 2-17, 71.8)    15- 3   
 421 H Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (18- 2, 93.0)     7-14   
 424 H Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   (12- 7, 87.5)    11-12   
 426 A Henninger              NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-13, 76.6)     7- 6   
 428 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (16- 5, 92.7)    11-14   
 504 H Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-14, 73.5)    10- 5   
 508 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 81.6)     8- 7   
 510 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (22- 1, 99.9)     3-16   
 515 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (14- 5, 89.2)     9-10   
 518 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (14- 5, 91.0)     6-13   
 525 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (14- 5, 91.0)    10-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Binghamton             13- 2      11     5          n/a  
   403 H Auburn                  7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.57
   405 A Baldwinsville           7- 8      -1    -9    +++    8.12
   410 A West Genesee            6-15      -9   -16           1.00
   413 H Essex Junction         19- 9      10   -12          n/a  
   414 H Cicero-North Syracuse  10-12      -2    -5    +      3.75
   417 H Central Square         17-12       5     7    -     -2.47
   419 H Union-Endicott         11- 5       6    -3          n/a  
   420 A Nottingham             15- 3      12    11           0.00
   421 H Carthage                7-14      -7    -7           0.81
   424 H Oswego                 11-12      -1    -2           1.30
   426 A Henninger               7- 6       1     6    --    -5.96
   428 H Baldwinsville          11-14      -3    -7    ++     4.46
   504 H Corcoran               10- 5       5    11    --    -5.00
   508 A Auburn                  8- 7       1     1          -0.91
   510 H West Genesee            3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   515 A Fayetteville-Manlius    9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.69
   518 A Cicero-North Syracuse   6-13      -7    -7           0.41
   525 A Cicero-North Syracuse  10-20     -10    -7    -     -2.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Auburn                  7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.57
   426 A Henninger               7- 6       1     6    --    -5.96
   504 H Corcoran               10- 5       5    11    --    -5.00
   417 H Central Square         17-12       5     7    -     -2.47
   525 A Cicero-North Syracuse  10-20     -10    -7    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Baldwinsville           7- 8      -1    -9    +++    8.12
   413 H Essex Junction         19- 9      10   -12    +++        
   419 H Union-Endicott         11- 5       6    -3    +++        
   331 H Binghamton             13- 2      11     5    ++         
   428 H Baldwinsville          11-14      -3    -7    ++     4.46
   515 A Fayetteville-Manlius    9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.69
   414 H Cicero-North Syracuse  10-12      -2    -5    +      3.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.37 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.18 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/