Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5992126    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    (11- 8, 91.5)     7- 2   
 317 N Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 8-11, 87.0)     7- 9   
 320 H Oakton                 VA    Concord ( 8- 7, 91.2)    16- 1   
 323 H St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA    ( 9- 8, 91.0)     6- 5   
 327 H Haverford School       PA    IAC     (19- 5, 99.0)     6- 7   
 330 H St Alban's             DC    IAC     (15- 4, 92.0)    10- 4   
 401 H Penn Charter           PA    IAC     (14-12, 91.3)    11- 7   
 404 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     (11- 6, 87.9)     5- 3   
 407 H Gilman                 MD A  MIAA    ( 7- 9, 87.9)     8- 3   
 410 H Woodson                VA    Liberty (14- 6, 94.7)    12- 5   
 413 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (20- 1, 99.9)     4- 6   
 417 H Calvert Hall           MD A  MIAA    ( 5- 7, 88.4)    12- 8   
 419 A Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     ( 5-12, 79.9)     6- 4   
 424 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    ( 8-11, 87.3)    18- 1   
 427 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (16- 5, 93.7)     7- 5   
 430 A Robinson               VA    Concord (18- 2, 99.9)     9- 5   
 502 A Langley                VA    Liberty (12- 4, 94.7)    10- 2   
 504 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (14- 7, 94.4)     9- 8  o
 509 H St Alban's             DC    IAC     (15- 4, 92.0)     4- 9   
 515 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (20- 1, 99.9)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Our Lady-Good Counsel   7- 2       5     3          n/a  
   317 N Archbishop Spalding     7- 9      -2     6    ---   -8.56
   320 H Oakton                 16- 1      15     2          n/a  
   323 H St Mary's Annapolis     6- 5       1     3    -     -2.07
   327 H Haverford School        6- 7      -1    -4          n/a  
   330 H St Alban's             10- 4       6     2    +      3.90
   401 H Penn Charter           11- 7       4     3          n/a  
   404 A Bullis                  5- 3       2     5    -     -3.13
   407 H Gilman                  8- 3       5     6          -1.26
   410 H Woodson                12- 5       7     0          n/a  
   413 H Georgetown Prep         4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.79
   417 H Calvert Hall           12- 8       4     5          -1.69
   419 A Episcopal HS            6- 4       2    13    ---   -8.00
   424 H Gonzaga                18- 1      17     7          n/a  
   427 H St Stephen/St Agnes     7- 5       2     0           1.55
   430 A Robinson                9- 5       4    -6          n/a  
   502 A Langley                10- 2       8    -1          n/a  
   504 H DeMatha                 9- 8  o    1     0          n/a  
   509 H St Alban's              4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.10
   515 A Georgetown Prep         9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 N Archbishop Spalding     7- 9      -2     6    ---   -8.56
   419 A Episcopal HS            6- 4       2    13    ---   -8.00
   509 H St Alban's              4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.10
   323 H St Mary's Annapolis     6- 5       1     3    -     -2.07
   404 A Bullis                  5- 3       2     5    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Oakton                 16- 1      15     2    +++        
   410 H Woodson                12- 5       7     0    +++        
   430 A Robinson                9- 5       4    -6    +++        
   502 A Langley                10- 2       8    -1    +++        
   515 A Georgetown Prep         9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.83
   327 H Haverford School        6- 7      -1    -4    +          
   330 H St Alban's             10- 4       6     2    +      3.90
   413 H Georgetown Prep         4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.79
   424 H Gonzaga                18- 1      17     7    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.59 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.04 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/