Region = VT 2  NVAC             
   Nickname = T Lancers              Coach  =   John Hayden           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.5343933    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 411 A Rice Memorial          VT 2  NVAC    (14- 2, 99.8)     8- 7   
 419 A Burlington             VT 2  NVAC    (11- 4, 99.0)     6-10   
 421 A Mt Mansfield Union     VT 1  NVAC    ( 4-12, 90.1)     6-12   
 424 A Randolph Union         VT 2  NVAC    ( 3-11, 87.4)     7- 3   
 427 A Milton                 VT 2  NVAC    ( 2-12, 84.3)    13- 6   
 430 H Randolph Union         VT 2  NVAC    ( 3-11, 87.4)    13- 8   
 503 H Rice Memorial          VT 2  NVAC    (14- 2, 99.8)     8- 9   
 505 H Burlington             VT 2  NVAC    (11- 4, 99.0)    12- 7   
 507 H Green Mtn Valley       VT 2  Indep   ( 3- 3, 89.1)    13- 5   
 511 H Harwood                VT 2  NVAC    ( 8- 7, 92.7)    14- 9   
 515 A Montpelier             VT 2  NVAC    ( 1-11, 80.9)    17- 1   
 516 H Milton                 VT 2  NVAC    ( 2-12, 84.3)    16- 5   
 518 H Spaulding              VT 1  NVAC    ( 6- 8, 88.8)    13- 4   
 522 A St Johnsbury           VT 2  NVAC    ( 5-11, 88.2)    11-10   
 525 H U-32                   VT 2  NVAC    ( 9- 4, 96.2)    13- 7   
 601 H Hartford               VT 2  NVAC    ( 8- 7, 90.4)    13- 4   
 605 A Burr-Burton Academy    VT 2  MVLI    (15- 4, 99.9)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Rice Memorial           8- 7       1    -2    +      3.50
   419 A Burlington              6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.29
   421 A Mt Mansfield Union      6-12      -6     8          n/a  
   424 A Randolph Union          7- 3       4     9    --    -5.94
   427 A Milton                 13- 6       7    13    -     -3.00
   430 H Randolph Union         13- 8       5    13    --    -5.00
   503 H Rice Memorial           8- 9      -1     0          -1.87
   505 H Burlington             12- 7       5     1    +      3.34
   507 H Green Mtn Valley       13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00
   511 H Harwood                14- 9       5     8    -     -3.03
   515 A Montpelier             17- 1      16    16           0.00
   516 H Milton                 16- 5      11    16           0.00
   518 H Spaulding              13- 4       9    11          n/a  
   522 A St Johnsbury           11-10       1     9    ---   -8.15
   525 H U-32                   13- 7       6     4           1.56
   601 H Hartford               13- 4       9    10          -1.00
   605 A Burr-Burton Academy     7-16      -9    -2    ---   -6.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Mt Mansfield Union      6-12      -6     8    ---        
   522 A St Johnsbury           11-10       1     9    ---   -8.15
   605 A Burr-Burton Academy     7-16      -9    -2    ---   -6.41
   424 A Randolph Union          7- 3       4     9    --    -5.94
   430 H Randolph Union         13- 8       5    13    --    -5.00
   419 A Burlington              6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.29
   427 A Milton                 13- 6       7    13    -     -3.00
   507 H Green Mtn Valley       13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00
   511 H Harwood                14- 9       5     8    -     -3.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Rice Memorial           8- 7       1    -2    +      3.50
   505 H Burlington             12- 7       5     1    +      3.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.00 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.96 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   22.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.225.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/