Region = NY    Cath             
   Nickname = Y Firebirds            Coach  =   John Fechtmann        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.4426117    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   (15- 4, 98.3)     2-15   
 323 A Long Beach             NY A  Sec 8   (14- 4, 96.5)     8-12   
 324 A Hicksville             NY A  Sec 8   (13- 5, 93.4)     3- 8   
 328 A Baldwin                NY A  Sec 8   (12- 6, 94.1)     9-12   
 331 A St John Baptist        NY    Cath    ( 9- 9, 88.5)    10-13   
 403 H St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 8-11, 82.6)    18- 7   
 405 A Holy Trinity           NY    Cath    (10- 7, 89.8)    10- 9 2o
 409 A Somers                 NY B  Sec 1   (17- 4, 93.2)     5-10   
 413 A Locust Valley          NY C  Sec 8   ( 6-10, 84.5)     5- 7   
 420 H St Anthony's           NY    Cath    (14- 3, 99.3)     4-12   
 424 A Chaminade              NY    Cath    (14- 3, 99.9)     4-14   
 502 A St Anthony's           NY    Cath    (14- 3, 99.3)     4-12   
 504 H St John Baptist        NY    Cath    ( 9- 9, 88.5)     8- 7   
 508 H St Dominic             NY    Cath    ( 3-16, 76.4)    17- 2   
 509 H Chaminade              NY    Cath    (14- 3, 99.9)     2-11   
 511 A St Dominic             NY    Cath    ( 3-16, 76.4)    11- 5   
 515 A St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 8-11, 82.6)    12- 4   
 517 H Holy Trinity           NY    Cath    (10- 7, 89.8)     9-10  o
 520 H St John Baptist        NY    Cath    ( 9- 9, 88.5)     4-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Farmingdale             2-15     -13   -14          n/a  
   323 A Long Beach              8-12      -4   -12          n/a  
   324 A Hicksville              3- 8      -5    -9          n/a  
   328 A Baldwin                 9-12      -3    -9          n/a  
   331 A St John Baptist        10-13      -3    -4           1.40
   403 H St Mary's              18- 7      11     3    +++    6.11
   405 A Holy Trinity           10- 9 2o    1    -5    +++    6.75
   409 A Somers                  5-10      -5    -9          n/a  
   413 A Locust Valley           5- 7      -2     0          n/a  
   420 H St Anthony's            4-12      -8   -12    +      2.00
   424 A Chaminade               4-14     -10   -15           0.00
   502 A St Anthony's            4-12      -8   -15    +      2.00
   504 H St John Baptist         8- 7       1    -2    +      3.06
   508 H St Dominic             17- 2      15    10           0.00
   509 H Chaminade               2-11      -9   -13           1.00
   511 A St Dominic             11- 5       6     7          -1.67
   515 A St Mary's              12- 4       8     1    +++    6.46
   517 H Holy Trinity            9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.41
   520 H St John Baptist         4-13      -9    -2    ---   -6.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 H St John Baptist         4-13      -9    -2    ---   -6.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Long Beach              8-12      -4   -12    +++        
   328 A Baldwin                 9-12      -3    -9    +++        
   403 H St Mary's              18- 7      11     3    +++    6.11
   405 A Holy Trinity           10- 9 2o    1    -5    +++    6.75
   515 A St Mary's              12- 4       8     1    +++    6.46
   324 A Hicksville              3- 8      -5    -9    ++         
   409 A Somers                  5-10      -5    -9    ++         
   420 H St Anthony's            4-12      -8   -12    +      2.00
   502 A St Anthony's            4-12      -8   -15    +      2.00
   504 H St John Baptist         8- 7       1    -2    +      3.06
   517 H Holy Trinity            9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.27 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.08 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/