Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Jamie Sliwa           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7999191    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 A SouthEast Raleigh      NC    4A      (10- 7, 84.7)    10- 2   
 306 H W.G. Enloe             NC    4A      ( 4-10, 77.2)    14- 4   
 309 H Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 2-14, 79.3)    12- 1   
 312 A Broughton-Needham      NC    4A      (10- 8, 84.8)     9- 2   
 313 H Ravenscroft School     NC    Prvate  ( 8-11, 85.8)    11- 5   
 321 A Western Alamance       NC    3A/2A   ( 6-12, 83.0)    12- 5   
 323 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (22- 4, 99.5)     9-11   
 327 A Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  ( 7- 9, 87.2)     5- 7   
 328 H Liberty-Olentangy      OH 1  Reg 2   ( 8- 9, 85.0)     9- 5   
 330 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 5, 96.7)     2- 8   
 404 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 5-12, 79.9)    14- 7   
 411 A Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      ( 5- 7, 85.0)    10- 5   
 412 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    4A      ( 1-11, 73.8)    20- 8   
 417 H Durham Riverside       NC    4A      (11- 8, 93.2)     8-11   
 420 H Wilmington Hoggard     NC    4A      (15- 6, 92.1)     9-10   
 424 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (22- 4, 99.5)     6-13   
 427 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 5, 96.7)     9-18   
 501 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 5-12, 79.9)    14- 4   
 503 A Durham Riverside       NC    4A      (11- 8, 93.2)    10-16   
 508 A Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 4, 95.1)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A SouthEast Raleigh      10- 2       8     5    +      2.47
   306 H W.G. Enloe             14- 4      10    13           0.00
   309 H Athens Drive           12- 1      11    11           0.00
   312 A Broughton-Needham       9- 2       7     5           1.62
   313 H Ravenscroft School     11- 5       6     5          n/a  
   321 A Western Alamance       12- 5       7     7          -0.16
   323 A Chapel Hill             9-11      -2    -9    +++    7.35
   327 A Durham Academy          5- 7      -2     2          n/a  
   328 H Liberty-Olentangy       9- 5       4     5          n/a  
   330 H East Chapel Hill        2- 8      -6    -5          -0.26
   404 A Northern Durham        14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   411 A Wilmington Laney       10- 5       5     5          -0.15
   412 A Wilmington New Hanover 20- 8      12    16           0.00
   417 H Durham Riverside        8-11      -3    -2          -0.77
   420 H Wilmington Hoggard      9-10      -1    -1           0.13
   424 H Chapel Hill             6-13      -7    -8           1.56
   427 A East Chapel Hill        9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.47
   501 H Northern Durham        14- 4      10    11           0.00
   503 A Durham Riverside       10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.98
   508 A Cary HS                 7-10      -3    -4           1.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Durham Academy          5- 7      -2     2    --         
   404 A Northern Durham        14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   427 A East Chapel Hill        9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.47
   503 A Durham Riverside       10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Chapel Hill             9-11      -2    -9    +++    7.35
   305 A SouthEast Raleigh      10- 2       8     5    +      2.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.57 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.78 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/