Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Jason Jobson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7122803    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 86.8)    11-10  o
 331 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 77.7)    12- 8   
 402 H Batavia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-17, 64.3)    14- 2   
 420 H Aquinas Institute      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9-10, 82.6)     8-15   
 421 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   (12- 8, 85.2)     9- 8   
 424 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 94.2)     4-17   
 426 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 80.2)    11- 8   
 428 A Greece Arcadia/Olympia NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-14, 70.4)    19- 4   
 501 A Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 81.7)    12- 5   
 503 H Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 86.8)     6-12   
 505 A Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-15, 73.9)     8- 4   
 507 A Greece Odyssey/Athena  NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 73.7)    16- 5   
 508 H Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   (15- 3, 94.1)     8-17   
 512 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 94.2)     5- 6   
 515 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 80.2)     9- 8   
 517 H Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 81.7)     7- 6   
 523 H Aquinas Institute      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9-10, 82.6)    11- 9   
 529 N McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 8, 86.9)    10-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Hilton                 11-10  o    1    -1    +      2.70
   331 H Spencerport            12- 8       4     9    --    -5.02
   402 H Batavia                14- 2      12    22           0.00
   420 H Aquinas Institute       8-15      -7     4    ---  -11.09
   421 H Livonia                 9- 8       1     1          -0.47
   424 H Webster Thomas          4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.46
   426 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     11- 8       3     6    -     -3.48
   428 A Greece Arcadia/Olympia 19- 4      15    14           0.00
   501 A Brighton               12- 5       7     3    +      3.66
   503 H Hilton                  6-12      -6     0    --    -5.90
   505 A Palmyra-Macedon         8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   507 A Greece Odyssey/Athena  16- 5      11    11           0.00
   508 H Churchville-Chili       8-17      -9    -7          -1.54
   512 A Webster Thomas          5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.13
   515 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      9- 8       1     4    -     -3.88
   517 H Brighton                7- 6       1     4    -     -3.93
   523 H Aquinas Institute      11- 9       2     4    -     -2.09
   529 N McQuaid Jesuit         10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Aquinas Institute       8-15      -7     4    ---  -11.09
   505 A Palmyra-Macedon         8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   331 H Spencerport            12- 8       4     9    --    -5.02
   503 H Hilton                  6-12      -6     0    --    -5.90
   424 H Webster Thomas          4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.46
   426 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     11- 8       3     6    -     -3.48
   515 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      9- 8       1     4    -     -3.88
   517 H Brighton                7- 6       1     4    -     -3.93
   523 H Aquinas Institute      11- 9       2     4    -     -2.09
   529 N McQuaid Jesuit         10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Webster Thomas          5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.13
   324 A Hilton                 11-10  o    1    -1    +      2.70
   501 A Brighton               12- 5       7     3    +      3.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.88 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.09 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/