Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Mike Bongino          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.5355072    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 73.3)     9- 4   
 407 H Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 87.6)     6-10   
 410 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 69.2)    14- 5   
 413 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 78.2)    12- 4   
 416 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.2)     9-13   
 418 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9-10, 83.6)     8-10   
 420 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 80.7)    10- 7   
 424 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 76.5)    10- 7   
 428 A St John Baptist        NY    Cath    ( 9- 9, 88.5)     4- 9   
 502 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 71.5)    11- 5   
 504 A Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 77.9)    12- 9   
 507 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.3)     7- 6   
 508 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-16, 66.3)    10- 2   
 510 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-16, 61.7)    16- 2   
 514 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 9, 79.6)     6- 7   
 516 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 92.8)     4-12   
 522 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.3)    10- 4   
 524 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     5-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Deer Park               9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   407 H Half Hollow Hills West  6-10      -4    -3          -0.12
   410 A Copiague               14- 5       9    13          -1.00
   413 H West Babylon           12- 4       8     5    +      2.56
   416 A Lindenhurst             9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.13
   418 H Bay Shore               8-10      -2     0    -     -2.06
   420 H Northport              10- 7       3     2           0.05
   424 H Riverhead              10- 7       3     7    --    -4.20
   428 A St John Baptist         4- 9      -5    -6          n/a  
   502 A Walt Whitman           11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   504 A Bellport               12- 9       3     4          -1.46
   507 H Sachem North            7- 6       1     0           1.60
   508 H North Babylon          10- 2       8    17    -     -2.00
   510 A Brentwood              16- 2      14    20           0.00
   514 A William Floyd           6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.68
   516 A Ward Melville           4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
   522 H Sachem North           10- 4       6     0    +++    6.60
   524 A West Islip              5-16     -11   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Deer Park               9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   424 H Riverhead              10- 7       3     7    --    -4.20
   502 A Walt Whitman           11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   416 A Lindenhurst             9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.13
   418 H Bay Shore               8-10      -2     0    -     -2.06
   508 H North Babylon          10- 2       8    17    -     -2.00
   514 A William Floyd           6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 H Sachem North           10- 4       6     0    +++    6.60
   413 H West Babylon           12- 4       8     5    +      2.56
   516 A Ward Melville           4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.00 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.67 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/