Herndon                       5 - 7


 
                                     Region = VA    Concord          
   Nickname = A Hornets              Coach  =   Bill Will             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.4145355    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 4- 8, 79.9)    17- 7   
 319 A Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 0-13, 65.3)    16- 0   
 321 H Thos Jefferson         VA    Liberty ( 7- 7, 86.6)     7-11   
 323 A Yorktown               VA    Nationl (14- 4, 92.6)     4-10   
 330 A Fairfax                VA    Concord ( 3- 9, 80.9)    11- 3   
 411 A Westfield              VA    Concord (15- 6, 95.4)     7-14   
 413 H Chantilly              VA    Concord ( 9- 8, 91.5)     5-11   
 417 H Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl ( 4-10, 77.2)     9- 1   
 419 A Robinson               VA    Concord (18- 2, 99.9)     5-16   
 427 H Oakton                 VA    Concord ( 8- 7, 91.2)     7-18   
 501 H Centreville            VA    Concord ( 4- 9, 81.9)    15- 8   
 507 A Chantilly              VA    Concord ( 9- 8, 91.5)    10-15   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H South Lakes            17- 7      10     6    +      3.52
   319 A Wakefield HS           16- 0      16    20           0.00
   321 H Thos Jefferson          7-11      -4     0    -     -3.78
   323 A Yorktown                4-10      -6    -7           1.14
   330 A Fairfax                11- 3       8     4    +      3.51
   411 A Westfield               7-14      -7    -9    +      2.98
   413 H Chantilly               5-11      -6    -5          -0.83
   417 H Washington-Lee          9- 1       8     9          -1.17
   419 A Robinson                5-16     -11   -14           0.00
   427 H Oakton                  7-18     -11    -4    --    -5.20
   501 H Centreville            15- 8       7     4    +      2.53
   507 A Chantilly              10-15      -5    -6           1.11


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Oakton                  7-18     -11    -4    --    -5.20
   321 H Thos Jefferson          7-11      -4     0    -     -3.78


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H South Lakes            17- 7      10     6    +      3.52
   330 A Fairfax                11- 3       8     4    +      3.51
   411 A Westfield               7-14      -7    -9    +      2.98
   501 H Centreville            15- 8       7     4    +      2.53




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.89 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.33 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0


  
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