Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Pirates              Coach  =   Evan Smith            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.3322372    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 H West Forsyth           NC    4A      ( 5-12, 77.6)    16- 2   
 302 H SouthEast Guilford     NC    3A/2A   (11- 6, 92.1)     4- 3 2o
 306 H NorthEast Guilford     NC    3A/2A   ( 0- 9, 68.0)    16- 0   
 309 A Durham Riverside       NC    4A      (11- 8, 93.2)    12- 4   
 313 A R.J. Reynolds          NC    4A      ( 6-10, 81.2)    17- 5   
 316 H Greensboro Grimsley    NC    4A      (10- 8, 89.6)     9- 5   
 321 A Western Guilford       NC    3A/2A   (19- 0, 99.9)     7-10   
 323 A NorthWest Guilford     NC    4A      ( 6- 9, 84.0)    11- 6   
 327 A Western Alamance       NC    3A/2A   ( 6-12, 83.0)     8- 5   
 413 H W.G. Enloe             NC    4A      ( 4-10, 77.2)    16- 2   
 414 H R.J. Reynolds          NC    4A      ( 6-10, 81.2)    14- 2   
 417 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (17- 4, 95.9)     5- 7   
 420 H NorthWest Guilford     NC    4A      ( 6- 9, 84.0)    14- 7   
 424 A West Forsyth           NC    4A      ( 5-12, 77.6)    17- 1   
 427 A Greensboro Grimsley    NC    4A      (10- 8, 89.6)    11- 7   
 502 H Mount Tabor            NC    4A      ( 9- 9, 87.3)    10- 2   
 504 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (22- 4, 99.5)    10-12   
 508 H Weddington             NC    4A      (10- 9, 89.0)    11- 6   
 511 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 5, 96.7)     9- 8  o
 516 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (22- 4, 99.5)     6-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H West Forsyth           16- 2      14    18           0.00
   302 H SouthEast Guilford      4- 3 2o    1     4    -     -3.16
   306 H NorthEast Guilford     16- 0      16    28           0.00
   309 A Durham Riverside       12- 4       8     2    ++     5.70
   313 A R.J. Reynolds          17- 5      12    14           0.00
   316 H Greensboro Grimsley     9- 5       4     6    -     -2.71
   321 A Western Guilford        7-10      -3    -4           1.40
   323 A NorthWest Guilford     11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   327 A Western Alamance        8- 5       3    12    ---   -7.00
   413 H W.G. Enloe             16- 2      14    19           0.00
   414 H R.J. Reynolds          14- 2      12    15           0.00
   417 A Cardinal Gibbons        5- 7      -2     0          -1.59
   420 H NorthWest Guilford     14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00
   424 A West Forsyth           17- 1      16    17           0.00
   427 A Greensboro Grimsley    11- 7       4     5          -1.92
   502 H Mount Tabor            10- 2       8     9          -1.01
   504 A Chapel Hill            10-12      -2    -4    +      2.03
   508 H Weddington             11- 6       5     7    -     -2.29
   511 A East Chapel Hill        9- 8  o    1    -1    +      2.21
   516 A Chapel Hill             6-18     -12    -4    --    -5.97

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Western Alamance        8- 5       3    12    ---   -7.00
   323 A NorthWest Guilford     11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   516 A Chapel Hill             6-18     -12    -4    --    -5.97
   302 H SouthEast Guilford      4- 3 2o    1     4    -     -3.16
   316 H Greensboro Grimsley     9- 5       4     6    -     -2.71
   420 H NorthWest Guilford     14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00
   508 H Weddington             11- 6       5     7    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Durham Riverside       12- 4       8     2    ++     5.70
   504 A Chapel Hill            10-12      -2    -4    +      2.03
   511 A East Chapel Hill        9- 8  o    1    -1    +      2.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.89 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.51 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/