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Region = NC 4A Nickname = C Falcons Coach = Dan SwainGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6082306 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Broughton-Needham NC 4A (10- 8, 84.8) 12- 6 303 H Wilmington Hoggard NC 4A (15- 6, 92.1) 7-12 306 H Chapel Hill NC 4A (22- 4, 99.5) 4-14 309 H Wakefield NC 4A ( 9- 9, 86.9) 15- 9 313 A Holly Springs NC 4A ( 3-14, 76.1) 15- 3 320 H East Chapel Hill NC 4A (17- 5, 96.7) 9-10 323 A Cary-Middle Creek NC 4A ( 7- 7, 87.6) 11- 7 329 H Garner NC 4A ( 2-16, 68.3) 23- 2 330 A Athens Drive NC 4A ( 2-14, 79.3) 16-13 413 H Cary HS NC 4A (14- 4, 95.1) 8-11 417 A Apex NC 4A (15- 5, 98.2) 10-16 420 A Cary HS NC 4A (14- 4, 95.1) 10-11 424 H Athens Drive NC 4A ( 2-14, 79.3) 17- 4 427 H Cary-Middle Creek NC 4A ( 7- 7, 87.6) 11-13 502 A SouthEast Raleigh NC 4A (10- 7, 84.7) 14- 5 503 H Apex NC 4A (15- 5, 98.2) 6-15 508 A Wilmington Hoggard NC 4A (15- 6, 92.1) 9-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Broughton-Needham 12- 6 6 4 1.52 303 H Wilmington Hoggard 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.97 306 H Chapel Hill 4-14 -10 -9 -0.54 309 H Wakefield 15- 9 6 3 + 2.86 313 A Holly Springs 15- 3 12 13 0.00 320 H East Chapel Hill 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.64 323 A Cary-Middle Creek 11- 7 4 1 + 2.33 329 H Garner 23- 2 21 21 0.00 330 A Athens Drive 16-13 3 10 --- -7.00 413 H Cary HS 8-11 -3 -4 1.98 417 A Apex 10-16 -6 -8 + 2.91 420 A Cary HS 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.77 424 H Athens Drive 17- 4 13 10 0.00 427 H Cary-Middle Creek 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.46 502 A SouthEast Raleigh 14- 5 9 4 ++ 4.37 503 H Apex 6-15 -9 -8 -0.88 508 A Wilmington Hoggard 9-11 -2 -2 0.82UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 A Athens Drive 16-13 3 10 --- -7.00 427 H Cary-Middle Creek 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.46 303 H Wilmington Hoggard 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.97OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H East Chapel Hill 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.64 420 A Cary HS 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.77 502 A SouthEast Raleigh 14- 5 9 4 ++ 4.37 309 H Wakefield 15- 9 6 3 + 2.86 323 A Cary-Middle Creek 11- 7 4 1 + 2.33 417 A Apex 10-16 -6 -8 + 2.91/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.68 Local Power Rank........... 14 Local SOS Rating......... 74.60 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 16 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 22 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 20 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7