Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Dan Swain             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6082306    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 A Broughton-Needham      NC    4A      (10- 8, 84.8)    12- 6   
 303 H Wilmington Hoggard     NC    4A      (15- 6, 92.1)     7-12   
 306 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (22- 4, 99.5)     4-14   
 309 H Wakefield              NC    4A      ( 9- 9, 86.9)    15- 9   
 313 A Holly Springs          NC    4A      ( 3-14, 76.1)    15- 3   
 320 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 5, 96.7)     9-10   
 323 A Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 7- 7, 87.6)    11- 7   
 329 H Garner                 NC    4A      ( 2-16, 68.3)    23- 2   
 330 A Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 2-14, 79.3)    16-13   
 413 H Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 4, 95.1)     8-11   
 417 A Apex                   NC    4A      (15- 5, 98.2)    10-16   
 420 A Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 4, 95.1)    10-11   
 424 H Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 2-14, 79.3)    17- 4   
 427 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 7- 7, 87.6)    11-13   
 502 A SouthEast Raleigh      NC    4A      (10- 7, 84.7)    14- 5   
 503 H Apex                   NC    4A      (15- 5, 98.2)     6-15   
 508 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    4A      (15- 6, 92.1)     9-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Broughton-Needham      12- 6       6     4           1.52
   303 H Wilmington Hoggard      7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.97
   306 H Chapel Hill             4-14     -10    -9          -0.54
   309 H Wakefield              15- 9       6     3    +      2.86
   313 A Holly Springs          15- 3      12    13           0.00
   320 H East Chapel Hill        9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.64
   323 A Cary-Middle Creek      11- 7       4     1    +      2.33
   329 H Garner                 23- 2      21    21           0.00
   330 A Athens Drive           16-13       3    10    ---   -7.00
   413 H Cary HS                 8-11      -3    -4           1.98
   417 A Apex                   10-16      -6    -8    +      2.91
   420 A Cary HS                10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   424 H Athens Drive           17- 4      13    10           0.00
   427 H Cary-Middle Creek      11-13      -2     2    --    -4.46
   502 A SouthEast Raleigh      14- 5       9     4    ++     4.37
   503 H Apex                    6-15      -9    -8          -0.88
   508 A Wilmington Hoggard      9-11      -2    -2           0.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Athens Drive           16-13       3    10    ---   -7.00
   427 H Cary-Middle Creek      11-13      -2     2    --    -4.46
   303 H Wilmington Hoggard      7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H East Chapel Hill        9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.64
   420 A Cary HS                10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   502 A SouthEast Raleigh      14- 5       9     4    ++     4.37
   309 H Wakefield              15- 9       6     3    +      2.86
   323 A Cary-Middle Creek      11- 7       4     1    +      2.33
   417 A Apex                   10-16      -6    -8    +      2.91
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.68 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.60 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/