Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-IV           
   Nickname = J Patriots             Coach  =   Steve Gibb            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.9174271    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 9- 8, 78.1)     6- 5   
 404 A Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 7- 8, 73.6)     4- 6   
 407 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III ( 8- 8, 77.0)    10- 9   
 411 A Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-12, 62.5)    15- 6   
 414 H St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 6- 8, 71.0)    12- 5   
 421 A Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-11, 68.9)    10- 7   
 423 A Wall Township          NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-11, 70.4)     9- 5   
 428 H Colt's Neck            NJ    Grp-III (17- 3, 83.7)     3-11   
 430 H Brick Memorial         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-10, 67.0)     6- 5 2o
 503 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (14- 6, 87.6)     2-12   
 508 A Jackson Memorial       NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7- 7, 74.6)     5- 8   
 511 A Manasquan              NJ    Grp-I   (11- 7, 76.9)    12-13   
 512 H Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 8- 7, 74.5)    10- 3   
 517 H Barnegat Township      NJ    Grp-I   ( 1-15, 58.8)    18- 4   
 521 A Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  (10- 5, 79.9)     7- 9   
 523 A South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (18- 2, 89.6)     5-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Red Bank Catholic       6- 5       1    -1    +      2.46
   404 A Toms River East         4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.26
   407 H Toms River South       10- 9       1     0           1.33
   411 A Marlboro               15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   414 H St John Vianney        12- 5       7     5           1.34
   421 A Howell                 10- 7       3     5    -     -2.94
   423 A Wall Township           9- 5       4     4          -0.45
   428 H Colt's Neck             3-11      -8    -7          -0.92
   430 H Brick Memorial          6- 5 2o    1     9    ---   -8.64
   503 A Christian Bros          2-12     -10   -12           0.00
   508 A Jackson Memorial        5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.31
   511 A Manasquan              12-13      -1    -2           1.01
   512 H Monsignor Donovan      10- 3       7     2    ++     4.84
   517 H Barnegat Township      18- 4      14    17           0.00
   521 A Red Bank Regional       7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.03
   523 A South Brunswick         5-19     -14   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Brick Memorial          6- 5 2o    1     9    ---   -8.64
   404 A Toms River East         4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.26
   421 A Howell                 10- 7       3     5    -     -2.94
   508 A Jackson Memorial        5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Monsignor Donovan      10- 3       7     2    ++     4.84
   402 H Red Bank Catholic       6- 5       1    -1    +      2.46
   521 A Red Bank Regional       7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.75 Local Power Rank...........    83
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.16 Local SOS Rank.............    98
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    62
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    65
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/