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Conf = ECIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Dave HowesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.7240524 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Woodstock Academy CT M ( 2-14, 64.6) 16- 5 407 A Suffield HS CT S (12- 6, 82.9) 7-15 410 H East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 92.2) 1-18 418 A Morgan-Clinton CT S (10- 6, 82.1) 5-11 420 H Valley Regional CT S ( 7- 8, 73.6) 14- 5 424 H Wheeler-No Stonington CT S ( 3-13, 62.7) 18- 3 426 H Ledyard CT M ( 9- 6, 79.5) 5-14 428 A Concord Carlisle MA 2 (17- 7, 90.5) 2- 5 501 A Saint Bernard CT S ( 5-11, 64.9) 18- 4 505 A Xavier CT L ( 5-11, 79.0) 7-14 510 H North Kingstown RI Div-1 (10- 8, 88.2) 3-14 512 H Guilford CT M (11- 8, 88.3) 3- 8 514 A Stonington CT S ( 6-12, 72.5) 4- 5 516 A Old Lyme CT S (12- 3, 84.8) 8-13 519 A Norwich Free Academy CT L (10- 7, 80.3) 8- 5 523 N East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 92.2) 1-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Woodstock Academy 16- 5 11 12 0.00 407 A Suffield HS 7-15 -8 -8 0.26 410 H East Lyme 1-18 -17 -15 0.00 418 A Morgan-Clinton 5-11 -6 -7 1.54 420 H Valley Regional 14- 5 9 3 ++ 5.76 424 H Wheeler-No Stonington 18- 3 15 14 0.00 426 H Ledyard 5-14 -9 -2 --- -6.31 428 A Concord Carlisle 2- 5 -3 -15 n/a 501 A Saint Bernard 18- 4 14 9 0.31 505 A Xavier 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.57 510 H North Kingstown 3-14 -11 -11 n/a 512 H Guilford 3- 8 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 514 A Stonington 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.12 516 A Old Lyme 8-13 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 519 A Norwich Free Academy 8- 5 3 -5 +++ 8.68 523 N East Lyme 1-13 -12 -16 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H Ledyard 5-14 -9 -2 --- -6.31 505 A Xavier 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.57 514 A Stonington 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.12OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A Concord Carlisle 2- 5 -3 -15 +++ 519 A Norwich Free Academy 8- 5 3 -5 +++ 8.68 420 H Valley Regional 14- 5 9 3 ++ 5.76 512 H Guilford 3- 8 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 516 A Old Lyme 8-13 -5 -10 ++ 5.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 75.70 Local Power Rank........... 50 Local SOS Rating......... 58.53 Local SOS Rank............. 47 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 46 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 24 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 48 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -11.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7