Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Dave Howes            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.7240524    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 2-14, 64.6)    16- 5   
 407 A Suffield HS            CT S          (12- 6, 82.9)     7-15   
 410 H East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 92.2)     1-18   
 418 A Morgan-Clinton         CT S          (10- 6, 82.1)     5-11   
 420 H Valley Regional        CT S          ( 7- 8, 73.6)    14- 5   
 424 H Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 3-13, 62.7)    18- 3   
 426 H Ledyard                CT M          ( 9- 6, 79.5)     5-14   
 428 A Concord Carlisle       MA 2          (17- 7, 90.5)     2- 5   
 501 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 5-11, 64.9)    18- 4   
 505 A Xavier                 CT L          ( 5-11, 79.0)     7-14   
 510 H North Kingstown        RI    Div-1   (10- 8, 88.2)     3-14   
 512 H Guilford               CT M          (11- 8, 88.3)     3- 8   
 514 A Stonington             CT S          ( 6-12, 72.5)     4- 5   
 516 A Old Lyme               CT S          (12- 3, 84.8)     8-13   
 519 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (10- 7, 80.3)     8- 5   
 523 N East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 92.2)     1-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Woodstock Academy      16- 5      11    12           0.00
   407 A Suffield HS             7-15      -8    -8           0.26
   410 H East Lyme               1-18     -17   -15           0.00
   418 A Morgan-Clinton          5-11      -6    -7           1.54
   420 H Valley Regional        14- 5       9     3    ++     5.76
   424 H Wheeler-No Stonington  18- 3      15    14           0.00
   426 H Ledyard                 5-14      -9    -2    ---   -6.31
   428 A Concord Carlisle        2- 5      -3   -15          n/a  
   501 A Saint Bernard          18- 4      14     9           0.31
   505 A Xavier                  7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.57
   510 H North Kingstown         3-14     -11   -11          n/a  
   512 H Guilford                3- 8      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   514 A Stonington              4- 5      -1     2    -     -3.12
   516 A Old Lyme                8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   519 A Norwich Free Academy    8- 5       3    -5    +++    8.68
   523 N East Lyme               1-13     -12   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Ledyard                 5-14      -9    -2    ---   -6.31
   505 A Xavier                  7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.57
   514 A Stonington              4- 5      -1     2    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Concord Carlisle        2- 5      -3   -15    +++        
   519 A Norwich Free Academy    8- 5       3    -5    +++    8.68
   420 H Valley Regional        14- 5       9     3    ++     5.76
   512 H Guilford                3- 8      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   516 A Old Lyme                8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.70 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.53 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    46
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    48
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/