Region = VA    Cedar            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Reed Gillespie        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9733200    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 N Potomac-Dumfries       VA    Card    (11- 6, 86.1)     4- 5  o
 328 A Forest Park            VA    Card    (10- 5, 88.9)     5- 8   
 329 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA    NoWest  ( 3-11, 80.3)     5- 3   
 331 N Highland School        VA 2  Delaney (18- 4, 99.9)     3-16   
 418 A Hylton                 VA    Card    ( 6- 8, 80.7)     4- 2   
 419 H Gar-field              VA    Card    ( 1- 9, 67.8)    17- 5   
 423 H Osbourn                VA    Cedar   (12- 7, 88.9)     1- 8   
 426 A Stonewall Jackson      VA    Cedar   ( 1-11, 73.4)     8- 3   
 428 A Woodbridge             VA    Card    ( 3-12, 77.8)     6- 5 2o
 430 H Osbourn Park           VA    Cedar   ( 9- 4, 91.5)     7-13   
 503 A Culpeper HS            VA    Cedar   (17- 2, 94.0)     3-13   
 504 A Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 1-10, 80.3)    10- 9  o
 507 H Battlefield            VA    Cedar   ( 6- 8, 82.2)    12- 7   
 514 A Culpeper HS            VA    Cedar   (17- 2, 94.0)     5-10   
 517 N Osbourn Park           VA    Cedar   ( 9- 4, 91.5)     8- 7   
 521 A North Stafford         VA    Comw    (17- 3, 99.9)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Potomac-Dumfries        4- 5  o   -1    -1           0.79
   328 A Forest Park             5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.47
   329 A Liberty-Bealeton        5- 3       2     3          n/a  
   331 N Highland School         3-16     -13   -15          n/a  
   418 A Hylton                  4- 2       2     2          -0.67
   419 H Gar-field              17- 5      12    17           0.00
   423 H Osbourn                 1- 8      -7    -3    -     -3.43
   426 A Stonewall Jackson       8- 3       5     9    --    -4.98
   428 A Woodbridge              6- 5 2o    1     5    --    -4.62
   430 H Osbourn Park            7-13      -6    -6           0.16
   503 A Culpeper HS             3-13     -10   -10           0.00
   504 A Charlottesville        10- 9  o    1     3          n/a  
   507 H Battlefield            12- 7       5     3           1.92
   514 A Culpeper HS             5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   517 N Osbourn Park            8- 7       1    -7    +++    8.13
   521 A North Stafford          5-15     -10   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Stonewall Jackson       8- 3       5     9    --    -4.98
   428 A Woodbridge              6- 5 2o    1     5    --    -4.62
   423 H Osbourn                 1- 8      -7    -3    -     -3.43
   504 A Charlottesville        10- 9  o    1     3    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 N Osbourn Park            8- 7       1    -7    +++    8.13
   514 A Culpeper HS             5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   328 A Forest Park             5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.35 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.09 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/