Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Mike Torelli          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.4728928    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 N Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 99.8)    12-13 4o
 331 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 91.2)     9- 8 2o
 403 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 94.2)    12-13   
 410 A Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (17- 3, 98.8)     6- 7   
 412 A Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (16- 7, 95.7)     3- 6   
 421 A Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 88.3)    10- 3   
 424 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 91.5)    11-10   
 428 H Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (19- 4, 99.9)    10- 3   
 501 H Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.9)     8- 7  o
 503 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 99.8)     8-10   
 505 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)    10- 8   
 510 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 91.2)    13- 9   
 512 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 91.5)     7- 8   
 515 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-10, 88.7)    15- 8   
 517 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.9)     5-12   
 519 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-10, 88.7)    11- 8   
 522 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 77.7)    16- 3   
 525 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 94.2)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 N Webster Schroeder      12-13 4o   -1    -5    ++     4.47
   331 H Penfield                9- 8 2o    1     3    -     -2.95
   403 H Webster Thomas         12-13      -1     0          -1.93
   410 A Canandaigua             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.25
   412 A Penn Yan                3- 6      -3    -2          -0.81
   421 A Timon St Jude          10- 3       7     5          n/a  
   424 A Rush-Henrietta         11-10       1     2          -1.02
   428 H Corning East           10- 3       7    -4          n/a  
   501 H Irondequoit             8- 7  o    1    -4    ++     5.76
   503 A Webster Schroeder       8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.27
   505 H Orchard Park           10- 8       2    -4          n/a  
   510 A Penfield               13- 9       4     2           1.64
   512 H Rush-Henrietta          7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.62
   515 H Pittsford              15- 8       7     6           0.51
   517 A Irondequoit             5-12      -7    -6          -0.65
   519 H Pittsford              11- 8       3     6    -     -3.49
   522 H Spencerport            16- 3      13    17           0.00
   525 H Webster Thomas         10-11      -1     0          -1.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Rush-Henrietta          7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.62
   331 H Penfield                9- 8 2o    1     3    -     -2.95
   519 H Pittsford              11- 8       3     6    -     -3.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Corning East           10- 3       7    -4    +++        
   505 H Orchard Park           10- 8       2    -4    +++        
   324 N Webster Schroeder      12-13 4o   -1    -5    ++     4.47
   410 A Canandaigua             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.25
   501 H Irondequoit             8- 7  o    1    -4    ++     5.76
   503 A Webster Schroeder       8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.35 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 86.15 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/