Conf =  FCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Chris Parisi          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0216980    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (10- 9, 86.0)     9- 7   
 407 A Brookfield             CT M          ( 6-11, 77.7)    12- 4   
 410 H Stamford               CT L          ( 5-11, 77.6)    11- 5   
 413 A Trinity Catholic       CT S          ( 0-16, 63.9)    18- 0   
 416 A Branford               CT M          (19- 4, 96.1)     5-11   
 419 H Ridgefield             CT L          ( 8-10, 89.7)     1-12   
 421 N St Joseph Central      MA 2          (11- 8, 88.6)    12- 5   
 425 H Darien                 CT M          (19- 3, 99.9)     2-15   
 427 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT M          (15- 4, 92.9)     6- 9   
 503 A Staples-Westport       CT M          ( 6-10, 81.6)     8-10   
 505 H Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 8- 9, 83.6)    10- 4   
 508 H New Canaan             CT M          (16- 6, 94.5)     4-14   
 510 A Wilton                 CT M          (10-10, 89.5)     1-13   
 517 A Westhill               CT L          ( 3-13, 73.7)     9- 1   
 518 H Norwalk                CT L          (11- 7, 90.4)     4-11   
 521 A Fairfield-Warde        CT M          ( 4-12, 77.1)     9- 6   
 602 A Conard-West Hartford   CT M          (13- 7, 88.3)     3- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A St Joseph-Trumbull      9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.52
   407 A Brookfield             12- 4       8     5    +      2.24
   410 H Stamford               11- 5       6     8    -     -2.09
   413 A Trinity Catholic       18- 0      18    19           0.00
   416 A Branford                5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   419 H Ridgefield              1-12     -11    -3    ---   -6.03
   421 N St Joseph Central      12- 5       7    -4          n/a  
   425 H Darien                  2-15     -13   -14           0.00
   427 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.20
   503 A Staples-Westport        8-10      -2     1    -     -3.87
   505 H Masuk-Monroe           10- 4       6     2    +      3.90
   508 H New Canaan              4-14     -10    -8          -1.20
   510 A Wilton                  1-13     -12    -6    -     -3.95
   517 A Westhill                9- 1       8     9          -1.81
   518 H Norwalk                 4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.34
   521 A Fairfield-Warde         9- 6       3     6    -     -3.38
   602 A Conard-West Hartford    3- 7      -4    -4           0.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Ridgefield              1-12     -11    -3    ---   -6.03
   410 H Stamford               11- 5       6     8    -     -2.09
   503 A Staples-Westport        8-10      -2     1    -     -3.87
   510 A Wilton                  1-13     -12    -6    -     -3.95
   518 H Norwalk                 4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.34
   521 A Fairfield-Warde         9- 6       3     6    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 N St Joseph Central      12- 5       7    -4    +++        
   405 A St Joseph-Trumbull      9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.52
   416 A Branford                5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   427 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.20
   407 A Brookfield             12- 4       8     5    +      2.24
   505 H Masuk-Monroe           10- 4       6     2    +      3.90
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.60 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.69 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/