Region = NY I  Sec 6            
   Nickname = A Spears               Coach  =   Brandon Jeska         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.9024734    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 6, 91.2)     5- 4 2o
 331 A Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 7, 87.1)     5- 4 3o
 403 A Wilson                 NY I  Sec 6   ( 2- 5, 86.8)     6- 3   
 420 A St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 6, 92.4)  3
 421 A Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 6, 86.0)     4- 7   
 424 A Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     9- 8 3o
 426 H Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 6, 91.2)     7- 3   
 427 H Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 7, 87.1)  5
 428 H Wilson                 NY I  Sec 6   ( 2- 5, 86.8)     5- 2   
 430 H Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     5- 2   
 504 H St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 6, 92.4)     9- 4   
 505 N Green-Akron            OH 2  Reg 2   (11- 8, 89.9)     6-13   
 505 H Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 6, 86.0)     5- 1   
 509 N St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 6, 92.4)     7- 8   
 512 A Cathedral Prep         PA    2DNORTH ( 0-12, 64.3)    10- 3   
 515 H Erie-McDowell          PA    2DNORTH ( 7- 9, 81.2)     8- 7  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Gow School              5- 4 2o    1     0           0.21
   331 A Kenmore East            5- 4 3o    1     4    -     -3.89
   403 A Wilson                  6- 3       3     5    -     -2.15
   421 A Newfane                 4- 7      -3     5    ---   -8.96
   424 A Genesee                 9- 8 3o    1    -7    +++    8.93
   426 H Gow School              7- 3       4     3           0.96
   428 H Wilson                  5- 2       3     7    --    -4.39
   430 H Genesee                 5- 2       3    -5    +++    8.69
   504 H St Mary's Lancaster     9- 4       5     1    +      3.21
   505 N Green-Akron             6-13      -7     3          n/a  
   505 H Newfane                 5- 1       4     8    --    -4.20
   509 N St Mary's Lancaster     7- 8      -1     0          -1.67
   512 A Cathedral Prep         10- 3       7    27          n/a  
   515 H Erie-McDowell           8- 7  o    1    13          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Newfane                 4- 7      -3     5    ---   -8.96
   505 N Green-Akron             6-13      -7     3    ---        
   515 H Erie-McDowell           8- 7  o    1    13    ---        
   428 H Wilson                  5- 2       3     7    --    -4.39
   505 H Newfane                 5- 1       4     8    --    -4.20
   331 A Kenmore East            5- 4 3o    1     4    -     -3.89
   403 A Wilson                  6- 3       3     5    -     -2.15
   512 A Cathedral Prep         10- 3       7    27    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Genesee                 9- 8 3o    1    -7    +++    8.93
   430 H Genesee                 5- 2       3    -5    +++    8.69
   504 H St Mary's Lancaster     9- 4       5     1    +      3.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.09 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.29 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   21.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.200.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  9- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/