Conf =  Pilgrim                   Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Dragons              Coach  =   Chris Sweet           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.7373352    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Waltham                MA 1          ( 3-15, 82.0)    15- 5   
 407 A John Jay-Cross River   NY B  Sec 1   (21- 3, 99.9)     3-14   
 413 N Christian Bros         NY A  Sec 2   (14- 6, 90.5)    10- 1   
 414 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (17- 4, 99.9)     4-10   
 417 H Needham                MA 1          (17- 5, 93.9)    10- 4   
 420 A Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (12- 7, 87.9)     6-12   
 421 A Shoreham-Wading River  NY C  Sec 11  (18- 3, 93.4)     4-14   
 424 A Scituate               MA 3          (16- 4, 95.5)     8- 7   
 426 H Cohasset               MA 3          (16- 3, 96.3)    14-11   
 428 H Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (10-11, 87.3)    15- 3   
 501 A Hingham                MA 2          (11-10, 88.8)     6- 2   
 505 H Concord Carlisle       MA 2          (17- 7, 90.5)     7- 4   
 508 A Hanover                MA 3          (14- 7, 89.3)    11- 3   
 510 H Boston College HS      MA 1          (15- 5, 94.6)     7- 3   
 512 H Brewster               NY B  Sec 1   ( 4-14, 81.0)     5- 4   
 515 A Norwell                MA 3          (11- 7, 86.1)    18- 3   
 519 H Bishop Guertin         NH 1          (15- 6, 94.6)    14- 8   
 522 H Barnstable             MA 1          (15- 7, 89.7)    11- 7   
 602 H Weymouth               MA 1          (15- 5, 89.8)    12- 5   
 606 H Beverly                MA 1          (17- 5, 93.0)     9- 5   
 610 A Billerica              MA 1          (18- 3, 97.6)    12-11 2o
 613 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (22- 1, 99.9)    10- 9  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Waltham                15- 5      10    15           0.00
   407 A John Jay-Cross River    3-14     -11    -4          n/a  
   413 N Christian Bros         10- 1       9     5          n/a  
   414 A Niskayuna               4-10      -6    -4          n/a  
   417 H Needham                10- 4       6     3    +      2.77
   420 A Sayville                6-12      -6     7          n/a  
   421 A Shoreham-Wading River   4-14     -10     1          n/a  
   424 A Scituate                8- 7       1     0           1.29
   426 H Cohasset               14-11       3     0    +      2.23
   428 H Acton Boxborough       15- 3      12     9           0.21
   501 A Hingham                 6- 2       4     6    -     -2.43
   505 H Concord Carlisle        7- 4       3     6    -     -3.63
   508 A Hanover                11- 3       8     5    +      2.10
   510 H Boston College HS       7- 3       4     2           1.51
   512 H Brewster                5- 4       1    16          n/a  
   515 A Norwell                18- 3      15     9           0.86
   519 H Bishop Guertin         14- 8       6     2          n/a  
   522 H Barnstable             11- 7       4     7    -     -3.41
   602 H Weymouth               12- 5       7     7          -0.24
   606 H Beverly                 9- 5       4     4          -0.12
   610 A Billerica              12-11 2o    1    -2    +      3.35
   613 A Xaverian Bros          10- 9  o    1    -4    ++     5.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Sayville                6-12      -6     7    ---        
   421 A Shoreham-Wading River   4-14     -10     1    ---        
   512 H Brewster                5- 4       1    16    ---        
   407 A John Jay-Cross River    3-14     -11    -4    --         
   501 A Hingham                 6- 2       4     6    -     -2.43
   505 H Concord Carlisle        7- 4       3     6    -     -3.63
   522 H Barnstable             11- 7       4     7    -     -3.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   613 A Xaverian Bros          10- 9  o    1    -4    ++     5.69
   413 N Christian Bros         10- 1       9     5    +          
   417 H Needham                10- 4       6     3    +      2.77
   426 H Cohasset               14-11       3     0    +      2.23
   508 A Hanover                11- 3       8     5    +      2.10
   519 H Bishop Guertin         14- 8       6     2    +          
   610 A Billerica              12-11 2o    1    -2    +      3.35
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.15 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.41 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.76 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   19.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.190.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
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