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Region = NC 4A Nickname = C Pirates Coach = Jim KirkleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.6509094 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Greensboro Grimsley NC 4A (10- 8, 89.6) 10- 9 309 H Greensboro Page NC 4A (16- 4, 95.9) 4-12 313 H Apex NC 4A (15- 5, 98.2) 9- 6 317 H Annapolis Area Christn MD B MIAA ( 6-10, 85.6) 8- 6 320 H Durham Academy NC Prvate ( 7- 9, 87.2) 9- 2 323 A East Chapel Hill NC 4A (17- 5, 96.7) 3-12 329 A Chapel Hill NC 4A (22- 4, 99.5) 7-16 330 A Northern Durham NC 4A ( 5-12, 79.9) 14- 4 402 H Cardinal Gibbons NC 3A/2A (17- 4, 95.9) 2- 8 404 A Western Alamance NC 3A/2A ( 6-12, 83.0) 12- 0 411 N Wesley Chapel FL WFLL-A (13- 6, 89.7) 11- 3 417 A Durham Jordan NC 4A (11- 9, 90.6) 11- 8 420 H Chapel Hill NC 4A (22- 4, 99.5) 6- 7 424 H East Chapel Hill NC 4A (17- 5, 96.7) 6- 7 o 426 H Northern Durham NC 4A ( 5-12, 79.9) 15- 1 501 H Western Guilford NC 3A/2A (19- 0, 99.9) 3- 6 503 H Durham Jordan NC 4A (11- 9, 90.6) 16-10 508 H Greensboro Grimsley NC 4A (10- 8, 89.6) 6- 4 511 A Charlotte Providence NC 4A (20- 4, 98.7) 11-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Greensboro Grimsley 10- 9 1 3 - -2.23 309 H Greensboro Page 4-12 -8 -2 -- -5.70 313 H Apex 9- 6 3 -4 +++ 7.60 317 H Annapolis Area Christn 8- 6 2 8 n/a 320 H Durham Academy 9- 2 7 7 n/a 323 A East Chapel Hill 3-12 -9 -3 -- -5.09 329 A Chapel Hill 7-16 -9 -6 - -2.27 330 A Northern Durham 14- 4 10 12 0.00 402 H Cardinal Gibbons 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.68 404 A Western Alamance 12- 0 12 9 0.22 411 N Wesley Chapel 11- 3 8 3 n/a 417 A Durham Jordan 11- 8 3 2 0.77 420 H Chapel Hill 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.94 424 H East Chapel Hill 6- 7 o -1 -3 + 2.12 426 H Northern Durham 15- 1 14 13 0.00 501 H Western Guilford 3- 6 -3 -6 + 3.31 503 H Durham Jordan 16-10 6 3 + 2.98 508 H Greensboro Grimsley 6- 4 2 4 - -2.02 511 A Charlotte Providence 11-12 -1 -5 ++ 4.91UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Annapolis Area Christn 8- 6 2 8 --- 309 H Greensboro Page 4-12 -8 -2 -- -5.70 323 A East Chapel Hill 3-12 -9 -3 -- -5.09 306 A Greensboro Grimsley 10- 9 1 3 - -2.23 329 A Chapel Hill 7-16 -9 -6 - -2.27 402 H Cardinal Gibbons 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.68 508 H Greensboro Grimsley 6- 4 2 4 - -2.02OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Apex 9- 6 3 -4 +++ 7.60 411 N Wesley Chapel 11- 3 8 3 ++ 420 H Chapel Hill 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.94 511 A Charlotte Providence 11-12 -1 -5 ++ 4.91 424 H East Chapel Hill 6- 7 o -1 -3 + 2.12 501 H Western Guilford 3- 6 -3 -6 + 3.31 503 H Durham Jordan 16-10 6 3 + 2.98/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.20 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 81.78 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 18 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3