Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Pirates              Coach  =   Jim Kirkley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.6509094    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 A Greensboro Grimsley    NC    4A      (10- 8, 89.6)    10- 9   
 309 H Greensboro Page        NC    4A      (16- 4, 95.9)     4-12   
 313 H Apex                   NC    4A      (15- 5, 98.2)     9- 6   
 317 H Annapolis Area Christn MD B  MIAA    ( 6-10, 85.6)     8- 6   
 320 H Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  ( 7- 9, 87.2)     9- 2   
 323 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 5, 96.7)     3-12   
 329 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (22- 4, 99.5)     7-16   
 330 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 5-12, 79.9)    14- 4   
 402 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (17- 4, 95.9)     2- 8   
 404 A Western Alamance       NC    3A/2A   ( 6-12, 83.0)    12- 0   
 411 N Wesley Chapel          FL    WFLL-A  (13- 6, 89.7)    11- 3   
 417 A Durham Jordan          NC    4A      (11- 9, 90.6)    11- 8   
 420 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (22- 4, 99.5)     6- 7   
 424 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 5, 96.7)     6- 7  o
 426 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 5-12, 79.9)    15- 1   
 501 H Western Guilford       NC    3A/2A   (19- 0, 99.9)     3- 6   
 503 H Durham Jordan          NC    4A      (11- 9, 90.6)    16-10   
 508 H Greensboro Grimsley    NC    4A      (10- 8, 89.6)     6- 4   
 511 A Charlotte Providence   NC    4A      (20- 4, 98.7)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Greensboro Grimsley    10- 9       1     3    -     -2.23
   309 H Greensboro Page         4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.70
   313 H Apex                    9- 6       3    -4    +++    7.60
   317 H Annapolis Area Christn  8- 6       2     8          n/a  
   320 H Durham Academy          9- 2       7     7          n/a  
   323 A East Chapel Hill        3-12      -9    -3    --    -5.09
   329 A Chapel Hill             7-16      -9    -6    -     -2.27
   330 A Northern Durham        14- 4      10    12           0.00
   402 H Cardinal Gibbons        2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.68
   404 A Western Alamance       12- 0      12     9           0.22
   411 N Wesley Chapel          11- 3       8     3          n/a  
   417 A Durham Jordan          11- 8       3     2           0.77
   420 H Chapel Hill             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.94
   424 H East Chapel Hill        6- 7  o   -1    -3    +      2.12
   426 H Northern Durham        15- 1      14    13           0.00
   501 H Western Guilford        3- 6      -3    -6    +      3.31
   503 H Durham Jordan          16-10       6     3    +      2.98
   508 H Greensboro Grimsley     6- 4       2     4    -     -2.02
   511 A Charlotte Providence   11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Annapolis Area Christn  8- 6       2     8    ---        
   309 H Greensboro Page         4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.70
   323 A East Chapel Hill        3-12      -9    -3    --    -5.09
   306 A Greensboro Grimsley    10- 9       1     3    -     -2.23
   329 A Chapel Hill             7-16      -9    -6    -     -2.27
   402 H Cardinal Gibbons        2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.68
   508 H Greensboro Grimsley     6- 4       2     4    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Apex                    9- 6       3    -4    +++    7.60
   411 N Wesley Chapel          11- 3       8     3    ++         
   420 H Chapel Hill             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.94
   511 A Charlotte Providence   11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.91
   424 H East Chapel Hill        6- 7  o   -1    -3    +      2.12
   501 H Western Guilford        3- 6      -3    -6    +      3.31
   503 H Durham Jordan          16-10       6     3    +      2.98
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.20 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.78 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/