Conf =  Div II                    Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Brian Tower           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.5747528    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A McGann-Mercy           NY C  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 69.6)     9- 7   
 326 H John Glenn-Elwood      NY C  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 69.4)     6- 5   
 328 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 83.0)     4- 9   
 404 H Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 77.4)     7-10   
 410 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 79.3)    10-12   
 413 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.3)     5-12   
 417 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 76.7)     9-10   
 418 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 9, 79.6)     5- 6   
 420 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.3)     6-14   
 426 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-16, 61.7)    17-10   
 430 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 78.2)     6- 7 2o
 502 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 76.5)     4-10   
 504 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-16, 66.3)     6- 2   
 508 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 69.2)    14-13  o
 510 A Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 77.9)     8-10   
 514 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9-10, 83.6)     2-18   
 516 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 71.5)    10- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A McGann-Mercy            9- 7       2     3          -1.02
   326 H John Glenn-Elwood       6- 5       1     4    -     -3.63
   328 A Half Hollow Hills East  4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   404 H Eastport/South Manor    7-10      -3    -3           0.42
   410 H Longwood               10-12      -2    -5    +      3.27
   413 A Sachem North            5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   417 A Connetquot              9-10      -1    -4    +      3.06
   418 H William Floyd           5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.65
   420 H East Islip              6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.66
   426 H Brentwood              17-10       7    12    -     -3.00
   430 H West Babylon            6- 7 2o   -1    -4    +      3.25
   502 A Riverhead               4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.16
   504 H North Babylon           6- 2       4     7    -     -3.73
   508 H Copiague               14-13  o    1     4    -     -3.83
   510 A Bellport                8-10      -2    -5    +      3.22
   514 A Bay Shore               2-18     -16   -10           0.00
   516 A Walt Whitman           10- 7       3     1           1.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H John Glenn-Elwood       6- 5       1     4    -     -3.63
   420 H East Islip              6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.66
   426 H Brentwood              17-10       7    12    -     -3.00
   502 A Riverhead               4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.16
   504 H North Babylon           6- 2       4     7    -     -3.73
   508 H Copiague               14-13  o    1     4    -     -3.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Half Hollow Hills East  4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   418 H William Floyd           5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.65
   410 H Longwood               10-12      -2    -5    +      3.27
   413 A Sachem North            5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   417 A Connetquot              9-10      -1    -4    +      3.06
   430 H West Babylon            6- 7 2o   -1    -4    +      3.25
   510 A Bellport                8-10      -2    -5    +      3.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.32 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.15 Local SOS Rank.............    43
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/