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Conf = SCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Tigers Coach = Ron ChaseGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.1539154 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Simsbury CT L (16- 5, 92.2) 4-11 410 H Amity Regional CT L (14- 5, 91.1) 11-12 412 H Guilford CT M (11- 8, 88.3) 9- 5 414 H Barlow-Redding CT S (16- 6, 92.5) 7-10 417 A Hamden CT L ( 8-10, 81.6) 14- 7 419 H Glastonbury CT L (12- 8, 90.5) 9-10 424 H East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 92.2) 8- 5 428 H Lincoln-Sudbury MA 1 ( 9-10, 88.4) 10- 4 501 H Fairfield Prep CT L (19- 3, 98.6) 7-11 503 A Xavier CT L ( 5-11, 79.0) 15- 6 508 H Branford CT M (19- 4, 96.1) 9-14 510 A Cheshire HS CT L (15- 5, 93.2) 9-10 512 H New Milford CT L (18- 4, 95.4) 12-13 514 A South Windsor CT L ( 1-15, 71.7) 13- 4 518 A Weston CT S (18- 3, 95.4) 8-10 521 A Conard-West Hartford CT M (13- 7, 88.3) 7- 5 523 A Amity Regional CT L (14- 5, 91.1) 7-11 602 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT M (15- 4, 92.9) 8-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Simsbury 4-11 -7 -5 -1.41 410 H Amity Regional 11-12 -1 -2 1.37 412 H Guilford 9- 5 4 0 + 3.54 414 H Barlow-Redding 7-10 -3 -3 0.71 417 A Hamden 14- 7 7 4 + 2.05 419 H Glastonbury 9-10 -1 -1 0.77 424 H East Lyme 8- 5 3 -3 +++ 6.40 428 H Lincoln-Sudbury 10- 4 6 0 n/a 501 H Fairfield Prep 7-11 -4 -9 ++ 5.79 503 A Xavier 15- 6 9 7 1.46 508 H Branford 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.30 510 A Cheshire HS 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.63 512 H New Milford 12-13 -1 -6 ++ 5.62 514 A South Windsor 13- 4 9 14 -1.00 518 A Weston 8-10 -2 -8 +++ 6.86 521 A Conard-West Hartford 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.73 523 A Amity Regional 7-11 -4 -4 0.56 602 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 8-10 -2 -6 ++ 4.32UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H East Lyme 8- 5 3 -3 +++ 6.40 518 A Weston 8-10 -2 -8 +++ 6.86 428 H Lincoln-Sudbury 10- 4 6 0 ++ 501 H Fairfield Prep 7-11 -4 -9 ++ 5.79 510 A Cheshire HS 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.63 512 H New Milford 12-13 -1 -6 ++ 5.62 602 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 8-10 -2 -6 ++ 4.32 412 H Guilford 9- 5 4 0 + 3.54 417 A Hamden 14- 7 7 4 + 2.05 508 H Branford 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.30 521 A Conard-West Hartford 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.73/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.67 Local Power Rank........... 22 Local SOS Rating......... 77.40 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 19 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 18 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 33 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3