Region = NE    East-1           
   Nickname = A Penguins             Coach  =   Matt Kowalchick       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.9001694    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Phillips Exeter        NE    East-1  (10- 6, 94.8)     3-14   
 411 H Moses Brown            NE    SEast-1 ( 6- 5, 90.6)     6- 8   
 414 H Kimball Union          NE    East-1  ( 9- 5, 92.7)     8-15   
 418 H Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    (11- 8, 90.1)     7-16   
 420 H Thayer Academy         NE    ISL     (11- 6, 90.8)     7- 8  o
 421 A Vermont Academy        NE    North   ( 2-12, 76.0)    18- 6   
 425 A Brewster Academy       NE    North   (13- 1, 99.5)     9-16   
 428 H Tabor Academy          NE    East-1  ( 7- 7, 89.7)     5- 7   
 502 H Proctor                NE    North   ( 7- 4, 87.1)    12-11   
 505 A Wilbraham & Monson     NE 2  West    ( 2- 9, 77.7)    15- 2   
 509 H Pomfret                NE    East-1  (13- 3, 96.1)    12-15   
 511 H Pingree                NE    East-2  (13- 3, 91.3)     2- 6   
 512 A Holderness             NE    East-1  ( 8- 5, 91.6)     7-12   
 514 H Winchendon             NE    East-2  ( 4- 9, 80.6)    19-10   
 517 A Worcester Academy      NE    East-2  (12- 4, 89.6)    12-13   
 519 H Portsmouth Abbey       NE    SEast-1 (10- 5, 87.2)    11-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Phillips Exeter         3-14     -11   -12           0.00
   411 H Moses Brown             6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.12
   414 H Kimball Union           8-15      -7    -8           1.14
   418 H Northfield Mt Hermon    7-16      -9    -5          n/a  
   420 H Thayer Academy          7- 8  o   -1    -6    ++     5.31
   421 A Vermont Academy        18- 6      12     6    +      3.24
   425 A Brewster Academy        9-16      -7   -16    +      3.00
   428 H Tabor Academy           5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.14
   502 H Proctor                12-11       1    -2    +      3.62
   505 A Wilbraham & Monson     15- 2      13     4          n/a  
   509 H Pomfret                12-15      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   511 H Pingree                 2- 6      -4    -6    +      2.80
   512 A Holderness              7-12      -5    -8    +      3.81
   514 H Winchendon             19-10       9     3    ++     5.11
   517 A Worcester Academy      12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.86
   519 H Portsmouth Abbey       11-13      -2    -2           0.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Northfield Mt Hermon    7-16      -9    -5    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Pomfret                12-15      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   411 H Moses Brown             6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.12
   420 H Thayer Academy          7- 8  o   -1    -6    ++     5.31
   505 A Wilbraham & Monson     15- 2      13     4    ++         
   514 H Winchendon             19-10       9     3    ++     5.11
   517 A Worcester Academy      12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.86
   421 A Vermont Academy        18- 6      12     6    +      3.24
   425 A Brewster Academy        9-16      -7   -16    +      3.00
   428 H Tabor Academy           5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.14
   502 H Proctor                12-11       1    -2    +      3.62
   511 H Pingree                 2- 6      -4    -6    +      2.80
   512 A Holderness              7-12      -5    -8    +      3.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.63 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.57 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/