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Region = NE East-1 Nickname = A Penguins Coach = Matt KowalchickGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.9001694 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Phillips Exeter NE East-1 (10- 6, 94.8) 3-14 411 H Moses Brown NE SEast-1 ( 6- 5, 90.6) 6- 8 414 H Kimball Union NE East-1 ( 9- 5, 92.7) 8-15 418 H Northfield Mt Hermon NE 1 West (11- 8, 90.1) 7-16 420 H Thayer Academy NE ISL (11- 6, 90.8) 7- 8 o 421 A Vermont Academy NE North ( 2-12, 76.0) 18- 6 425 A Brewster Academy NE North (13- 1, 99.5) 9-16 428 H Tabor Academy NE East-1 ( 7- 7, 89.7) 5- 7 502 H Proctor NE North ( 7- 4, 87.1) 12-11 505 A Wilbraham & Monson NE 2 West ( 2- 9, 77.7) 15- 2 509 H Pomfret NE East-1 (13- 3, 96.1) 12-15 511 H Pingree NE East-2 (13- 3, 91.3) 2- 6 512 A Holderness NE East-1 ( 8- 5, 91.6) 7-12 514 H Winchendon NE East-2 ( 4- 9, 80.6) 19-10 517 A Worcester Academy NE East-2 (12- 4, 89.6) 12-13 519 H Portsmouth Abbey NE SEast-1 (10- 5, 87.2) 11-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Phillips Exeter 3-14 -11 -12 0.00 411 H Moses Brown 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.12 414 H Kimball Union 8-15 -7 -8 1.14 418 H Northfield Mt Hermon 7-16 -9 -5 n/a 420 H Thayer Academy 7- 8 o -1 -6 ++ 5.31 421 A Vermont Academy 18- 6 12 6 + 3.24 425 A Brewster Academy 9-16 -7 -16 + 3.00 428 H Tabor Academy 5- 7 -2 -5 + 3.14 502 H Proctor 12-11 1 -2 + 3.62 505 A Wilbraham & Monson 15- 2 13 4 n/a 509 H Pomfret 12-15 -3 -11 +++ 7.00 511 H Pingree 2- 6 -4 -6 + 2.80 512 A Holderness 7-12 -5 -8 + 3.81 514 H Winchendon 19-10 9 3 ++ 5.11 517 A Worcester Academy 12-13 -1 -6 ++ 5.86 519 H Portsmouth Abbey 11-13 -2 -2 0.73UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Northfield Mt Hermon 7-16 -9 -5 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 509 H Pomfret 12-15 -3 -11 +++ 7.00 411 H Moses Brown 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.12 420 H Thayer Academy 7- 8 o -1 -6 ++ 5.31 505 A Wilbraham & Monson 15- 2 13 4 ++ 514 H Winchendon 19-10 9 3 ++ 5.11 517 A Worcester Academy 12-13 -1 -6 ++ 5.86 421 A Vermont Academy 18- 6 12 6 + 3.24 425 A Brewster Academy 9-16 -7 -16 + 3.00 428 H Tabor Academy 5- 7 -2 -5 + 3.14 502 H Proctor 12-11 1 -2 + 3.62 511 H Pingree 2- 6 -4 -6 + 2.80 512 A Holderness 7-12 -5 -8 + 3.81
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.63 Local Power Rank........... 29 Local SOS Rating......... 75.57 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 29 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 25 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 41 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0