Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Pat Collins           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.7236481    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.2)     6-10   
 328 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 74.6)     6- 7   
 410 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 92.6)     3-15   
 413 H Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 77.9)     6- 8   
 414 H Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.6)     4-12   
 417 H Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 73.3)    10- 9   
 418 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 69.2)    10- 7   
 420 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 76.5)     9- 3   
 426 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.2)     4- 8   
 502 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-16, 61.7)    19- 5   
 504 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 80.1)     9-10  o
 508 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.3)    13- 6   
 510 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 93.5)     7-18   
 514 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 79.3)     3-10   
 517 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 81.4)    10-11   
 518 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 71.5)    10- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Lindenhurst             6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.17
   328 H Middle Country          6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.76
   410 H Smithtown East          3-15     -12   -15           0.00
   413 H Bellport                6- 8      -2     0          -1.52
   414 H Hauppauge               4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.79
   417 H Deer Park              10- 9       1     4    -     -3.06
   418 A Copiague               10- 7       3     6    -     -3.86
   420 A Riverhead               9- 3       6     0    +++    6.46
   426 A Sachem East             4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.16
   502 A Brentwood              19- 5      14    14           0.00
   504 H Commack                 9-10  o   -1    -2           1.72
   508 A East Islip             13- 6       7    -3    +++   10.31
   510 A Smithtown West          7-18     -11   -17           0.00
   514 H Longwood                3-10      -7    -1    --    -5.11
   517 H Patchogue-Medford      10-11      -1    -4    +      3.03
   518 A Walt Whitman           10- 7       3     4          -1.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Hauppauge               4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.79
   514 H Longwood                3-10      -7    -1    --    -5.11
   328 H Middle Country          6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.76
   417 H Deer Park              10- 9       1     4    -     -3.06
   418 A Copiague               10- 7       3     6    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Riverhead               9- 3       6     0    +++    6.46
   508 A East Islip             13- 6       7    -3    +++   10.31
   322 A Lindenhurst             6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.17
   426 A Sachem East             4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.16
   517 H Patchogue-Medford      10-11      -1    -4    +      3.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.70 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.01 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/