Region = AZ    Div-1            
   Nickname = Z Firebirds            Coach  =   Jason Silkey          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.9975128    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 A Pinnacle               AZ    Div-2   ( 7- 7, 86.5)    13- 1   
 210 H Highland               AZ    Div-1   ( 3- 9, 85.4)    13- 5   
 217 H Chandler               AZ    Div-1   ( 7- 6, 91.8)     9- 5   
 221 A Gilbert                AZ    Div-1   ( 5- 7, 90.7)    11- 9   
 227 A Tucson                 AZ    Div-1   ( 8- 5, 95.2)    12-11  o
 302 A Brophy Prep            AZ    Div-1   (15- 5, 99.9)     7-10   
 312 H Horizon                AZ    Div-2   ( 4- 9, 78.9)    11- 3   
 314 H Western Reserve Acad   OH 1  Indep   (16- 3, 99.4)     6-13   
 321 H Notre Dame Prep        AZ    Div-1   ( 1-11, 79.0)    14- 6   
 323 H Air Academy            CO    South   (10- 6, 90.6)     4-10   
 324 H Desert Mountain        AZ    Div-1   (10- 4, 96.0)     6- 2   
 402 H Dublin Jerome          OH 1  Reg 2   (16- 5, 94.9)     6-11   
 404 A Mountain Pointe        AZ    Div-1   ( 7- 6, 93.7)     7- 4   
 411 H Desert Vista           AZ    Div-1   (10- 4, 96.4)     7- 2   
 413 A Saguaro                AZ    Div-1   ( 7- 6, 91.9)     4- 9   
 421 H Desert Vista           AZ    Div-1   (10- 4, 96.4)     7- 5   
 427 N Brophy Prep            AZ    Div-1   (15- 5, 99.9)     2-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Pinnacle               13- 1      12     6    +      3.00
   210 H Highland               13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   217 H Chandler                9- 5       4     4          -0.18
   221 A Gilbert                11- 9       2     2          -0.78
   227 A Tucson                 12-11  o    1    -1    +      2.71
   302 A Brophy Prep             7-10      -3    -6    +      3.37
   312 H Horizon                11- 3       8    17    -     -2.00
   314 H Western Reserve Acad    6-13      -7    -3          n/a  
   321 H Notre Dame Prep        14- 6       8    16    -     -2.00
   323 H Air Academy             4-10      -6     5          n/a  
   324 H Desert Mountain         6- 2       4     0    ++     4.09
   402 H Dublin Jerome           6-11      -5     0          n/a  
   404 A Mountain Pointe         7- 4       3     0    +      3.13
   411 H Desert Vista            7- 2       5     0    ++     5.40
   413 A Saguaro                 4- 9      -5     1    ---   -6.60
   421 H Desert Vista            7- 5       2     0    +      2.40
   427 N Brophy Prep             2-12     -10    -5    --    -4.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Air Academy             4-10      -6     5    ---        
   413 A Saguaro                 4- 9      -5     1    ---   -6.60
   402 H Dublin Jerome           6-11      -5     0    --         
   427 N Brophy Prep             2-12     -10    -5    --    -4.84
   210 H Highland               13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   312 H Horizon                11- 3       8    17    -     -2.00
   314 H Western Reserve Acad    6-13      -7    -3    -          
   321 H Notre Dame Prep        14- 6       8    16    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Desert Mountain         6- 2       4     0    ++     4.09
   411 H Desert Vista            7- 2       5     0    ++     5.40
   207 A Pinnacle               13- 1      12     6    +      3.00
   227 A Tucson                 12-11  o    1    -1    +      2.71
   302 A Brophy Prep             7-10      -3    -6    +      3.37
   404 A Mountain Pointe         7- 4       3     0    +      3.13
   421 H Desert Vista            7- 5       2     0    +      2.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.74 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.24 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.190.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/