Charlottesville               1 -10


 
                                     Region = VA    Jeffsn           
   Nickname = A Black Knights        Coach  =   Dave Zentmyer         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   85.9465485    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Tandem Friends         VA 2  VIC     ( 8- 4, 93.4)     6-11   
 319 H Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (13- 5, 97.6)     3-16   
 323 H Williamsburg LC        VA    Indep   (10- 5, 96.9)     7-12   
 410 H Woodberry Forest       VA 1  VIP     (11- 6, 91.5)     3-15   
 413 A Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 8- 7, 89.4)     8-12   
 419 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA    NoWest  ( 3-11, 80.3)    12- 8   
 421 A Loudoun Valley         VA    Dulles  ( 9- 8, 87.6)     6-16   
 427 A Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 5-10, 86.3)    12-13  o
 502 H Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 5-10, 86.3)     7-15   
 504 H Fauquier               VA    Cedar   ( 8- 8, 84.4)     9-10  o
 510 N Salem                  VA    Indep   (11- 5, 94.8)     5-22   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Tandem Friends          6-11      -5   -14          n/a  
   319 H Western Albemarle       3-16     -13   -16           0.00
   323 H Williamsburg LC         7-12      -5   -16          n/a  
   410 H Woodberry Forest        3-15     -12   -10          n/a  
   413 A Rockbridge County       8-12      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   419 A Liberty-Bealeton       12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.07
   421 A Loudoun Valley          6-16     -10    -8          -1.57
   427 A Monticello             12-13  o   -1    -7    +++    6.06
   502 H Monticello              7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.15
   504 H Fauquier                9-10  o   -1    -3          n/a  
   510 N Salem                   5-22     -17   -14           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Monticello              7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.15


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Rockbridge County       8-12      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   427 A Monticello             12-13  o   -1    -7    +++    6.06
   313 A Tandem Friends          6-11      -5   -14    ++         
   323 H Williamsburg LC         7-12      -5   -16    ++         
   419 A Liberty-Bealeton       12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.07
   504 H Fauquier                9-10  o   -1    -3    +          




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.30 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.01 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7


  
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