Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NorCal           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Messersmith      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9490280    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 224 H Foothill-Sacramento    CA    NorCal  ( 3-10, 75.6)     8- 1   
 303 A Chico Grey             CA    NorCal  ( 7- 3, 86.3)     2- 9   
 307 A Oak Ridge              CA    NorCal  (11- 6, 86.8)     2- 6   
 309 H Jesuit-Sacramento      CA    NorCal  ( 7- 5, 83.6)     7- 3   
 310 H Mira Loma              CA    NorCal  ( 0-11, 63.3)    18- 5   
 317 H Chico Red              CA    NorCal  ( 8- 3, 88.9)     7-11   
 324 N San Jose               CA    NorCal  ( 6- 5, 83.5)     6- 8   
 325 N San Francisco City     CA    NorCal  ( 6- 7, 81.7)    10- 9  o
 328 A Jesuit-Sacramento      CA    NorCal  ( 7- 5, 83.6)     9- 7   
 411 H Oak Ridge              CA    NorCal  (11- 6, 86.8)     1- 8   
 414 A Foothill-Sacramento    CA    NorCal  ( 3-10, 75.6)     5- 4   
 415 A Davis                  CA    NorCal  (10- 5, 87.3)     1- 8   
 416 A Granite Bay            CA    NorCal  (14- 4, 90.2)     1- 9   
 421 H Ukiah                  CA    NorCal  ( 1-12, 67.9)    17- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Foothill-Sacramento     8- 1       7     6           0.47
   303 A Chico Grey              2- 9      -7    -5          -1.75
   307 A Oak Ridge               2- 6      -4    -5           1.76
   309 H Jesuit-Sacramento       7- 3       4    -1    ++     5.46
   310 H Mira Loma              18- 5      13    18           0.00
   317 H Chico Red               7-11      -4    -6    +      2.68
   324 N San Jose                6- 8      -2    -1          -0.12
   325 N San Francisco City     10- 9  o    1     0           1.11
   328 A Jesuit-Sacramento       9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.63
   411 H Oak Ridge               1- 8      -7    -4    -     -2.41
   414 A Foothill-Sacramento     5- 4       1     5    --    -4.35
   415 A Davis                   1- 8      -7    -6          -0.74
   416 A Granite Bay             1- 9      -8    -9           1.18
   421 H Ukiah                  17- 6      11    14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Foothill-Sacramento     5- 4       1     5    --    -4.35
   411 H Oak Ridge               1- 8      -7    -4    -     -2.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Jesuit-Sacramento       7- 3       4    -1    ++     5.46
   328 A Jesuit-Sacramento       9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.63
   317 H Chico Red               7-11      -4    -6    +      2.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.58 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.95 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/