Conf =  FCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Senators             Coach  =   Mike Epstein          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.4814758    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H New Canaan             CT M          (16- 6, 94.5)     8- 7  o
 407 H Newtown                CT L          ( 5-11, 81.5)    12- 2   
 409 H Westhill               CT L          ( 3-13, 73.7)    13- 0   
 414 A Southington            CT L          ( 6-10, 81.2)     9- 3   
 418 A Darien                 CT M          (19- 3, 99.9)     2-10   
 420 A Stamford               CT L          ( 5-11, 77.6)    17- 6   
 421 H Simsbury               CT L          (16- 5, 92.2)     3- 4   
 424 H Staples-Westport       CT M          ( 6-10, 81.6)    14- 5   
 427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT M          ( 8- 9, 84.6)     9- 6   
 501 A St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (10- 9, 86.0)    13- 3   
 504 H Wilton                 CT M          (10-10, 89.5)     6- 5  o
 509 A Fairfield-Warde        CT M          ( 4-12, 77.1)    16- 3   
 510 H Trinity Catholic       CT S          ( 0-16, 63.9)    15- 1   
 515 A Norwalk                CT L          (11- 7, 90.4)     7- 6   
 519 H Ridgefield             CT L          ( 8-10, 89.7)     8- 7   
 521 H Weston                 CT S          (18- 3, 95.4)     6- 5   
 523 H Wilton                 CT M          (10-10, 89.5)     7- 9   
 602 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          ( 7-11, 87.7)    10- 8   
 606 H Conard-West Hartford   CT M          (13- 7, 88.3)     7- 8 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H New Canaan              8- 7  o    1     0           1.51
   407 H Newtown                12- 2      10    12           0.00
   409 H Westhill               13- 0      13    20           0.00
   414 A Southington             9- 3       6    10    --    -4.00
   418 A Darien                  2-10      -8    -8           0.10
   420 A Stamford               17- 6      11    14           0.00
   421 H Simsbury                3- 4      -1     1    -     -2.82
   424 H Staples-Westport       14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe       9- 6       3     7    --    -4.20
   501 A St Joseph-Trumbull     13- 3      10     5    ++     4.23
   504 H Wilton                  6- 5  o    1     4    -     -3.44
   509 A Fairfield-Warde        16- 3      13    14           0.00
   510 H Trinity Catholic       15- 1      14    30           0.00
   515 A Norwalk                 7- 6       1     1          -0.44
   519 H Ridgefield              8- 7       1     4    -     -3.32
   521 H Weston                  6- 5       1    -1    +      2.44
   523 H Wilton                  7- 9      -2     4    ---   -6.44
   602 H Daniel Hand-Madison    10- 8       2     6    --    -4.32
   606 H Conard-West Hartford    7- 8 2o   -1     5    ---   -6.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 H Wilton                  7- 9      -2     4    ---   -6.44
   606 H Conard-West Hartford    7- 8 2o   -1     5    ---   -6.69
   414 A Southington             9- 3       6    10    --    -4.00
   427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe       9- 6       3     7    --    -4.20
   602 H Daniel Hand-Madison    10- 8       2     6    --    -4.32
   421 H Simsbury                3- 4      -1     1    -     -2.82
   504 H Wilton                  6- 5  o    1     4    -     -3.44
   519 H Ridgefield              8- 7       1     4    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A St Joseph-Trumbull     13- 3      10     5    ++     4.23
   521 H Weston                  6- 5       1    -1    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.90 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.76 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/