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Conf = FCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Senators Coach = Mike EpsteinGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.4814758 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 404 H New Canaan CT M (16- 6, 94.5) 8- 7 o 407 H Newtown CT L ( 5-11, 81.5) 12- 2 409 H Westhill CT L ( 3-13, 73.7) 13- 0 414 A Southington CT L ( 6-10, 81.2) 9- 3 418 A Darien CT M (19- 3, 99.9) 2-10 420 A Stamford CT L ( 5-11, 77.6) 17- 6 421 H Simsbury CT L (16- 5, 92.2) 3- 4 424 H Staples-Westport CT M ( 6-10, 81.6) 14- 5 427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe CT M ( 8- 9, 84.6) 9- 6 501 A St Joseph-Trumbull CT S (10- 9, 86.0) 13- 3 504 H Wilton CT M (10-10, 89.5) 6- 5 o 509 A Fairfield-Warde CT M ( 4-12, 77.1) 16- 3 510 H Trinity Catholic CT S ( 0-16, 63.9) 15- 1 515 A Norwalk CT L (11- 7, 90.4) 7- 6 519 H Ridgefield CT L ( 8-10, 89.7) 8- 7 521 H Weston CT S (18- 3, 95.4) 6- 5 523 H Wilton CT M (10-10, 89.5) 7- 9 602 H Daniel Hand-Madison CT M ( 7-11, 87.7) 10- 8 606 H Conard-West Hartford CT M (13- 7, 88.3) 7- 8 2oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H New Canaan 8- 7 o 1 0 1.51 407 H Newtown 12- 2 10 12 0.00 409 H Westhill 13- 0 13 20 0.00 414 A Southington 9- 3 6 10 -- -4.00 418 A Darien 2-10 -8 -8 0.10 420 A Stamford 17- 6 11 14 0.00 421 H Simsbury 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.82 424 H Staples-Westport 14- 5 9 12 -1.00 427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 9- 6 3 7 -- -4.20 501 A St Joseph-Trumbull 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.23 504 H Wilton 6- 5 o 1 4 - -3.44 509 A Fairfield-Warde 16- 3 13 14 0.00 510 H Trinity Catholic 15- 1 14 30 0.00 515 A Norwalk 7- 6 1 1 -0.44 519 H Ridgefield 8- 7 1 4 - -3.32 521 H Weston 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.44 523 H Wilton 7- 9 -2 4 --- -6.44 602 H Daniel Hand-Madison 10- 8 2 6 -- -4.32 606 H Conard-West Hartford 7- 8 2o -1 5 --- -6.69UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 H Wilton 7- 9 -2 4 --- -6.44 606 H Conard-West Hartford 7- 8 2o -1 5 --- -6.69 414 A Southington 9- 3 6 10 -- -4.00 427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 9- 6 3 7 -- -4.20 602 H Daniel Hand-Madison 10- 8 2 6 -- -4.32 421 H Simsbury 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.82 504 H Wilton 6- 5 o 1 4 - -3.44 519 H Ridgefield 8- 7 1 4 - -3.32OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A St Joseph-Trumbull 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.23 521 H Weston 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.44/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.90 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 68.76 Local SOS Rank............. 20 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 16 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 15 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3