Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Barons               Coach  =   Mark McMillan         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.5520554    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 80.2)     5-10   
 403 A Aquinas Institute      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9-10, 82.6)     8- 4   
 410 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 8, 86.9)     6- 7   
 413 A Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   (12- 8, 85.2)     6- 5   
 417 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 94.2)     7-15   
 421 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10-10, 87.7)     5-12   
 428 A Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 77.7)    13- 6   
 501 H Eastridge              NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 85.9)     5-12   
 502 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 86.8)     2- 3   
 503 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 94.2)     9-15   
 505 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 86.2)     6- 5   
 508 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.9)     4-15   
 510 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 80.2)     8-10   
 512 H Aquinas Institute      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9-10, 82.6)     5- 1   
 515 H Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 86.8)     4-13   
 517 A Eastridge              NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 85.9)     6- 7   
 525 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10-10, 87.7)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      5-10      -5     2    ---   -7.34
   403 A Aquinas Institute       8- 4       4    -1    ++     5.64
   410 A McQuaid Jesuit          6- 7      -1    -5    ++     5.00
   413 A Livonia                 6- 5       1    -4    ++     5.26
   417 H Webster Thomas          7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   421 A Victor                  5-12      -7    -6          -0.30
   428 A Spencerport            13- 6       7     3    +      3.71
   501 H Eastridge               5-12      -7    -3    -     -3.66
   502 A Hilton                  2- 3      -1    -5    ++     4.83
   503 A Webster Thomas          9-15      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   505 H Gates-Chili             6- 5       1    -3    ++     4.65
   508 A Irondequoit             4-15     -11   -18           0.00
   510 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      8-10      -2     0    -     -2.75
   512 H Aquinas Institute       5- 1       4     0    ++     4.04
   515 H Hilton                  4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.76
   517 A Eastridge               6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.93
   525 A Victor                  8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      5-10      -5     2    ---   -7.34
   515 H Hilton                  4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.76
   501 H Eastridge               5-12      -7    -3    -     -3.66
   510 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      8-10      -2     0    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Aquinas Institute       8- 4       4    -1    ++     5.64
   410 A McQuaid Jesuit          6- 7      -1    -5    ++     5.00
   413 A Livonia                 6- 5       1    -4    ++     5.26
   502 A Hilton                  2- 3      -1    -5    ++     4.83
   503 A Webster Thomas          9-15      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   505 H Gates-Chili             6- 5       1    -3    ++     4.65
   512 H Aquinas Institute       5- 1       4     0    ++     4.04
   525 A Victor                  8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.70
   417 H Webster Thomas          7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   428 A Spencerport            13- 6       7     3    +      3.71
   517 A Eastridge               6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.74 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.10 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/