Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Scott Faulkner        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.3077927    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Whitney Point          NY C  Sec 4   ( 7-13, 78.1)     7- 3   
 327 H Owego Free Academy     NY B  Sec 4   (11- 8, 84.7)    10- 8   
 329 A Seton Catholic Central NY B  Sec 4   (14- 6, 87.3)     4- 8   
 331 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 84.4)     2-13   
 402 H Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-14, 73.5)     8- 9   
 403 A Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   (10- 9, 88.7)     3-10   
 405 H Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   (17- 3, 97.5)     1-13   
 410 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 91.2)     3-12   
 412 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 89.8)     5-14   
 419 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 5-13, 83.6)     6- 7   
 424 A Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (19- 4, 99.9)     1-16   
 426 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   (10- 9, 88.7)     4- 8   
 428 H Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   (14- 7, 92.6)     6-16   
 501 A Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   (17- 3, 97.5)     5-17   
 507 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 89.8)     4- 6   
 510 A Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   (14- 7, 92.6)     2-12   
 515 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 5-13, 83.6)     7- 8   
 517 H Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (19- 4, 99.9)     0-15   
 524 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 5-13, 83.6)     5- 2   
 530 A Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   (17- 3, 97.5)     9-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Whitney Point           7- 3       4     1    +      2.29
   327 H Owego Free Academy     10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.94
   329 A Seton Catholic Central  4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.19
   331 A Liverpool               2-13     -11    -5          n/a  
   402 H Corcoran                8- 9      -1     6          n/a  
   403 A Union-Endicott          3-10      -7    -9    +      2.62
   405 H Vestal                  1-13     -12   -17           0.00
   410 A Penfield                3-12      -9   -12          n/a  
   412 A Ithaca                  5-14      -9   -10           1.00
   419 A Horseheads              6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.50
   424 A Corning East            1-16     -15   -20           0.00
   426 H Union-Endicott          4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.95
   428 H Corning West            6-16     -10   -12           0.00
   501 A Vestal                  5-17     -12   -18           0.00
   507 H Ithaca                  4- 6      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   510 A Corning West            2-12     -10   -13           0.00
   515 A Horseheads              7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.50
   517 H Corning East            0-15     -15   -20           0.00
   524 A Horseheads              5- 2       3    -4    +++    7.50
   530 A Vestal                  9-17      -8   -18    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Corcoran                8- 9      -1     6    ---        
   331 A Liverpool               2-13     -11    -5    --         

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Owego Free Academy     10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.94
   507 H Ithaca                  4- 6      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   524 A Horseheads              5- 2       3    -4    +++    7.50
   329 A Seton Catholic Central  4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.19
   426 H Union-Endicott          4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.95
   322 H Whitney Point           7- 3       4     1    +      2.29
   403 A Union-Endicott          3-10      -7    -9    +      2.62
   419 A Horseheads              6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.50
   515 A Horseheads              7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.50
   530 A Vestal                  9-17      -8   -18    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.42 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.02 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-17 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2-14 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-14 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/