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Conf = NWCIAC Region = CT S Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Gene MaceyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.2607422 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 410 A St Luke's NE 2 FAA (15- 4, 95.9) 3-10 413 H Hall-West Hartford CT M ( 7-11, 81.8) 8- 3 419 H New Fairfield CT S (16- 5, 94.1) 9-17 421 A New Milford CT L (18- 4, 95.4) 5-18 424 H Somers CT S (17- 3, 91.2) 6- 7 426 A Granby CT S ( 8-10, 76.0) 14- 8 428 H Ellington CT S ( 7-10, 74.6) 11-10 501 A Northwest Catholic CT S (14- 5, 86.9) 3- 9 504 A Norwich Free Academy CT L (10- 7, 80.3) 7- 8 508 A Suffield HS CT S (12- 6, 82.9) 19-12 510 A Stonington CT S ( 6-12, 72.5) 16- 4 512 H Farmington CT M ( 9- 9, 79.8) 9- 7 515 H Tolland CT S ( 9- 9, 78.1) 13- 7 517 H Lewis Mills-Burlington CT S ( 2-12, 63.9) 20- 0 522 H Windsor CT M ( 4-12, 75.3) 11- 6 524 A Newington CT L ( 3-13, 71.1) 12- 4 529 H Suffield HS CT S (12- 6, 82.9) 17- 8 531 A Somers CT S (17- 3, 91.2) 7- 8 602 H Morgan-Clinton CT S (10- 6, 82.1) 11- 3 606 A Weston CT S (18- 3, 95.4) 3-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A St Luke's 3-10 -7 -12 n/a 413 H Hall-West Hartford 8- 3 5 3 1.10 419 H New Fairfield 9-17 -8 -8 0.41 421 A New Milford 5-18 -13 -11 0.00 424 H Somers 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.49 426 A Granby 14- 8 6 7 -1.48 428 H Ellington 11-10 1 11 --- -9.00 501 A Northwest Catholic 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.65 504 A Norwich Free Academy 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.24 508 A Suffield HS 19-12 7 0 +++ 6.34 510 A Stonington 16- 4 12 11 0.00 512 H Farmington 9- 7 2 5 - -3.93 515 H Tolland 13- 7 6 7 -1.66 517 H Lewis Mills-Burlington 20- 0 20 21 0.00 522 H Windsor 11- 6 5 10 -- -5.00 524 A Newington 12- 4 8 12 - -2.00 529 H Suffield HS 17- 8 9 2 +++ 6.15 531 A Somers 7- 8 -1 -7 +++ 6.68 602 H Morgan-Clinton 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.42 606 A Weston 3-16 -13 -11 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 H Ellington 11-10 1 11 --- -9.00 504 A Norwich Free Academy 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.24 522 H Windsor 11- 6 5 10 -- -5.00 501 A Northwest Catholic 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.65 512 H Farmington 9- 7 2 5 - -3.93 524 A Newington 12- 4 8 12 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 A Suffield HS 19-12 7 0 +++ 6.34 529 H Suffield HS 17- 8 9 2 +++ 6.15 531 A Somers 7- 8 -1 -7 +++ 6.68 424 H Somers 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.49 602 H Morgan-Clinton 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.42 410 A St Luke's 3-10 -7 -12 +/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.63 Local Power Rank........... 27 Local SOS Rating......... 63.30 Local SOS Rank............. 38 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 18 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 26 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -11.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0