Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Gene Macey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2607422    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 A St Luke's              NE 2  FAA     (15- 4, 95.9)     3-10   
 413 H Hall-West Hartford     CT M          ( 7-11, 81.8)     8- 3   
 419 H New Fairfield          CT S          (16- 5, 94.1)     9-17   
 421 A New Milford            CT L          (18- 4, 95.4)     5-18   
 424 H Somers                 CT S          (17- 3, 91.2)     6- 7   
 426 A Granby                 CT S          ( 8-10, 76.0)    14- 8   
 428 H Ellington              CT S          ( 7-10, 74.6)    11-10   
 501 A Northwest Catholic     CT S          (14- 5, 86.9)     3- 9   
 504 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (10- 7, 80.3)     7- 8   
 508 A Suffield HS            CT S          (12- 6, 82.9)    19-12   
 510 A Stonington             CT S          ( 6-12, 72.5)    16- 4   
 512 H Farmington             CT M          ( 9- 9, 79.8)     9- 7   
 515 H Tolland                CT S          ( 9- 9, 78.1)    13- 7   
 517 H Lewis Mills-Burlington CT S          ( 2-12, 63.9)    20- 0   
 522 H Windsor                CT M          ( 4-12, 75.3)    11- 6   
 524 A Newington              CT L          ( 3-13, 71.1)    12- 4   
 529 H Suffield HS            CT S          (12- 6, 82.9)    17- 8   
 531 A Somers                 CT S          (17- 3, 91.2)     7- 8   
 602 H Morgan-Clinton         CT S          (10- 6, 82.1)    11- 3   
 606 A Weston                 CT S          (18- 3, 95.4)     3-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A St Luke's               3-10      -7   -12          n/a  
   413 H Hall-West Hartford      8- 3       5     3           1.10
   419 H New Fairfield           9-17      -8    -8           0.41
   421 A New Milford             5-18     -13   -11           0.00
   424 H Somers                  6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.49
   426 A Granby                 14- 8       6     7          -1.48
   428 H Ellington              11-10       1    11    ---   -9.00
   501 A Northwest Catholic      3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.65
   504 A Norwich Free Academy    7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.24
   508 A Suffield HS            19-12       7     0    +++    6.34
   510 A Stonington             16- 4      12    11           0.00
   512 H Farmington              9- 7       2     5    -     -3.93
   515 H Tolland                13- 7       6     7          -1.66
   517 H Lewis Mills-Burlington 20- 0      20    21           0.00
   522 H Windsor                11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   524 A Newington              12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00
   529 H Suffield HS            17- 8       9     2    +++    6.15
   531 A Somers                  7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.68
   602 H Morgan-Clinton         11- 3       8     3    ++     4.42
   606 A Weston                  3-16     -13   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Ellington              11-10       1    11    ---   -9.00
   504 A Norwich Free Academy    7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.24
   522 H Windsor                11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   501 A Northwest Catholic      3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.65
   512 H Farmington              9- 7       2     5    -     -3.93
   524 A Newington              12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Suffield HS            19-12       7     0    +++    6.34
   529 H Suffield HS            17- 8       9     2    +++    6.15
   531 A Somers                  7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.68
   424 H Somers                  6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.49
   602 H Morgan-Clinton         11- 3       8     3    ++     4.42
   410 A St Luke's               3-10      -7   -12    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.63 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.30 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/