Avalon-Catalina               6 - 5


 
   Conf =  D1                        Region = CA    Sunset           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Dave Zeller           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   85.7179565    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 H Crespi                 CA    Mission ( 7-12, 79.6)     6-12   
 310 H Newport Harbor         CA    Sunset  ( 9- 5, 83.5)     8- 9 2o
 317 H Marina                 CA    Sunset  ( 4-11, 72.0)    14- 2   
 323 A Santa Margarita        CA    Trinity ( 6-12, 77.4)     7-14   
 324 A Tustin HS              CA    Sunset  ( 0-10, 59.2)    19- 0   
 331 H Los Alamitos           CA    Sunset  ( 7- 4, 82.0)    11- 9   
 413 A Los Alamitos           CA    Sunset  ( 7- 4, 82.0)     3- 2   
 414 H J Serra Catholic       CA    Trinity (13- 4, 91.4)     5- 8   
 420 A Marina                 CA    Sunset  ( 4-11, 72.0)     1- 0   
 421 H Tustin HS              CA    Sunset  ( 0-10, 59.2)    25- 0   
 424 A Newport Harbor         CA    Sunset  ( 9- 5, 83.5)     6-10   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Crespi                  6-12      -6     3    ---   -9.02
   310 H Newport Harbor          8- 9 2o   -1     0          -0.12
   317 H Marina                 14- 2      12    10           0.00
   323 A Santa Margarita         7-14      -7     3    ---  -10.54
   324 A Tustin HS              19- 0      19    21           0.00
   331 H Los Alamitos           11- 9       2     0           1.35
   413 A Los Alamitos            3- 2       1    -1    +      2.08
   414 H J Serra Catholic        5- 8      -3    -8    ++     5.69
   421 H Tustin HS              25- 0      25    23           0.00
   424 A Newport Harbor          6-10      -4    -2          -1.40


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Crespi                  6-12      -6     3    ---   -9.02
   323 A Santa Margarita         7-14      -7     3    ---  -10.54


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H J Serra Catholic        5- 8      -3    -8    ++     5.69
   413 A Los Alamitos            3- 2       1    -1    +      2.08




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.81 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.78 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0


  
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