Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Rick Weber            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8057022    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A Broughton-Needham      NC    4A      (10- 8, 84.8)     7- 4   
 302 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (22- 4, 99.5)     1-12   
 306 H SouthEast Raleigh      NC    4A      (10- 7, 84.7)     8- 9  o
 309 A Durham Jordan          NC    4A      (11- 9, 90.6)     1-12   
 313 H W.G. Enloe             NC    4A      ( 4-10, 77.2)    12- 4   
 317 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    4A      (15- 6, 92.1)     5- 8   
 320 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (17- 4, 95.9)     4-15   
 323 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 5-12, 79.9)     6- 7 2o
 327 H Apex                   NC    4A      (15- 5, 98.2)     1-12   
 330 H Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 8- 9, 89.7)    13-16   
 413 A Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 7- 7, 87.6)     4- 7   
 417 A Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 4, 95.1)     5-14   
 420 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 7- 7, 87.6)     4- 6   
 424 A Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 8- 9, 89.7)     4-17   
 501 H Apex                   NC    4A      (15- 5, 98.2)     2-16   
 504 H Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 4, 95.1)     1-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Broughton-Needham       7- 4       3    -5    +++    8.94
   302 H Chapel Hill             1-12     -11   -19           0.00
   306 H SouthEast Raleigh       8- 9  o   -1    -4    +      4.00
   309 A Durham Jordan           1-12     -11   -11           0.00
   313 H W.G. Enloe             12- 4       8     2    ++     5.58
   317 A Wilmington Hoggard      5- 8      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   320 H Cardinal Gibbons        4-15     -11   -16           0.00
   323 A Northern Durham         6- 7 2o   -1    -1           0.03
   327 H Apex                    1-12     -11   -18           0.00
   330 H Green Hope             13-16      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   413 A Cary-Middle Creek       4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.75
   417 A Cary HS                 5-14      -9   -16           1.00
   420 H Cary-Middle Creek       4- 6      -2    -7    ++     5.96
   424 A Green Hope              4-17     -13   -10           0.00
   501 H Apex                    2-16     -14   -18           0.00
   504 H Cary HS                 1-17     -16   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Broughton-Needham       7- 4       3    -5    +++    8.94
   317 A Wilmington Hoggard      5- 8      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   330 H Green Hope             13-16      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   313 H W.G. Enloe             12- 4       8     2    ++     5.58
   413 A Cary-Middle Creek       4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.75
   420 H Cary-Middle Creek       4- 6      -2    -7    ++     5.96
   306 H SouthEast Raleigh       8- 9  o   -1    -4    +      4.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.26 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.33 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -14.3
/