Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Cougars              Coach  =   John Hayden           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.2404633    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H W.G. Enloe             NC    4A      ( 4-10, 77.2)    17- 2   
 309 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 5, 96.7)     4- 5   
 313 A Durham Riverside       NC    4A      (11- 8, 93.2)     6- 9   
 320 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (22- 4, 99.5)     4- 7   
 323 A Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 4, 95.1)    11- 4   
 327 A Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 2-14, 79.3)    12- 1   
 328 H Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      ( 5- 7, 85.0)    10- 2   
 330 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 7- 7, 87.6)    10- 5   
 402 A Langley                VA    Liberty (12- 4, 94.7)     3- 7   
 403 A Woodson                VA    Liberty (14- 6, 94.7)    10- 4   
 413 H Wakefield              NC    4A      ( 9- 9, 86.9)    15- 5   
 417 H Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 8- 9, 89.7)    16-10   
 420 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (17- 4, 95.9)    11- 3   
 424 A Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 7- 7, 87.6)    12- 2   
 427 H Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 4, 95.1)    14- 4   
 501 A Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 2-14, 79.3)    16- 2   
 503 A Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 8- 9, 89.7)    15- 6   
 508 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 7- 7, 87.6)    11- 4   
 511 H Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 4, 95.1)     8- 7  o
 516 A Charlotte Providence   NC    4A      (20- 4, 98.7)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H W.G. Enloe             17- 2      15    21           0.00
   309 A East Chapel Hill        4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.09
   313 A Durham Riverside        6- 9      -3     4    ---   -7.60
   320 H Chapel Hill             4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.06
   323 A Cary HS                11- 4       7     2    ++     4.25
   327 A Athens Drive           12- 1      11    18           0.00
   328 H Wilmington Laney       10- 2       8    13    -     -2.00
   330 H Cary-Middle Creek      10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   402 A Langley                 3- 7      -4     3          n/a  
   403 A Woodson                10- 4       6     3          n/a  
   413 H Wakefield              15- 5      10    11           0.00
   417 H Green Hope             16-10       6     8    -     -2.91
   420 H Cardinal Gibbons       11- 3       8     2    ++     5.32
   424 A Cary-Middle Creek      12- 2      10    10           0.00
   427 H Cary HS                14- 4      10     3    +++    6.47
   501 A Athens Drive           16- 2      14    18           0.00
   503 A Green Hope             15- 6       9     8           0.88
   508 H Cary-Middle Creek      11- 4       7    10    -     -3.00
   511 H Cary HS                 8- 7  o    1     3    -     -2.53
   516 A Charlotte Providence    9-10      -1     0          -0.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Durham Riverside        6- 9      -3     4    ---   -7.60
   402 A Langley                 3- 7      -4     3    ---        
   330 H Cary-Middle Creek      10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   309 A East Chapel Hill        4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.09
   320 H Chapel Hill             4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.06
   328 H Wilmington Laney       10- 2       8    13    -     -2.00
   417 H Green Hope             16-10       6     8    -     -2.91
   508 H Cary-Middle Creek      11- 4       7    10    -     -3.00
   511 H Cary HS                 8- 7  o    1     3    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Cary HS                14- 4      10     3    +++    6.47
   323 A Cary HS                11- 4       7     2    ++     4.25
   420 H Cardinal Gibbons       11- 3       8     2    ++     5.32
   403 A Woodson                10- 4       6     3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.19 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.48 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   18.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
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