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Conf = Merrimack Region = MA 1 Nickname = A Golden Warrior Coach = Wayne PuglisiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.5532761 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 409 H Tyngsborough MA 3 ( 7-13, 79.7) 9- 2 411 H Tewksbury Memorial MA 2 ( 9-11, 80.1) 11- 5 413 H Chelmsford MA 1 (13-10, 88.6) 10- 8 419 A Lexington HS MA 1 (16- 5, 91.2) 7- 9 422 A North Andover MA 2 (17- 5, 91.2) 9- 7 423 H Lowell MA 1 (16- 6, 90.1) 8- 3 426 A Billerica MA 1 (18- 3, 97.6) 13-12 o 428 H Beverly MA 1 (17- 5, 93.0) 10- 9 o 501 A Xaverian Bros MA 1 (22- 1, 99.9) 3-13 503 H Haverhill MA 1 (11- 8, 83.8) 9- 4 505 A Acton Boxborough MA 1 (10-11, 87.3) 10- 7 507 H Masconomet MA 2 (13- 8, 88.6) 13-11 509 A Chelmsford MA 1 (13-10, 88.6) 6- 7 3o 514 A Dracut MA 2 ( 2-14, 73.8) 16- 4 515 H Central Catholic MA 2 ( 9-10, 83.0) 11- 5 518 H Billerica MA 1 (18- 3, 97.6) 8- 9 521 A Waltham MA 1 ( 3-15, 82.0) 13-11 523 A Lincoln-Sudbury MA 1 ( 9-10, 88.4) 9- 7 602 H Lowell MA 1 (16- 6, 90.1) 10- 6 606 A Boston College HS MA 1 (15- 5, 94.6) 9- 7 610 A Xaverian Bros MA 1 (22- 1, 99.9) 6-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Tyngsborough 9- 2 7 13 - -3.00 411 H Tewksbury Memorial 11- 5 6 13 -- -4.00 413 H Chelmsford 10- 8 2 4 - -2.82 419 A Lexington HS 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.39 422 A North Andover 9- 7 2 0 1.62 423 H Lowell 8- 3 5 3 1.62 426 A Billerica 13-12 o 1 -5 +++ 6.99 428 H Beverly 10- 9 o 1 0 0.53 501 A Xaverian Bros 3-13 -10 -8 -1.66 503 H Haverhill 9- 4 5 9 -- -4.66 505 A Acton Boxborough 10- 7 3 4 -1.26 507 H Masconomet 13-11 2 4 - -2.87 509 A Chelmsford 6- 7 3o -1 2 - -3.95 514 A Dracut 16- 4 12 17 0.00 515 H Central Catholic 11- 5 6 10 -- -4.00 518 H Billerica 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.12 521 A Waltham 13-11 2 9 --- -7.56 523 A Lincoln-Sudbury 9- 7 2 3 -1.12 602 H Lowell 10- 6 4 3 0.62 606 A Boston College HS 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 5.03 610 A Xaverian Bros 6-10 -4 -8 ++ 4.34UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 521 A Waltham 13-11 2 9 --- -7.56 411 H Tewksbury Memorial 11- 5 6 13 -- -4.00 503 H Haverhill 9- 4 5 9 -- -4.66 515 H Central Catholic 11- 5 6 10 -- -4.00 409 H Tyngsborough 9- 2 7 13 - -3.00 413 H Chelmsford 10- 8 2 4 - -2.82 419 A Lexington HS 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.39 507 H Masconomet 13-11 2 4 - -2.87 509 A Chelmsford 6- 7 3o -1 2 - -3.95OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Billerica 13-12 o 1 -5 +++ 6.99 606 A Boston College HS 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 5.03 610 A Xaverian Bros 6-10 -4 -8 ++ 4.34 518 H Billerica 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.12/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.50 Local Power Rank........... 15 Local SOS Rating......... 75.51 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 24 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7