Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Golden Warrior       Coach  =   Wayne Puglisi         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5532761    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Tyngsborough           MA 3          ( 7-13, 79.7)     9- 2   
 411 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 9-11, 80.1)    11- 5   
 413 H Chelmsford             MA 1          (13-10, 88.6)    10- 8   
 419 A Lexington HS           MA 1          (16- 5, 91.2)     7- 9   
 422 A North Andover          MA 2          (17- 5, 91.2)     9- 7   
 423 H Lowell                 MA 1          (16- 6, 90.1)     8- 3   
 426 A Billerica              MA 1          (18- 3, 97.6)    13-12  o
 428 H Beverly                MA 1          (17- 5, 93.0)    10- 9  o
 501 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (22- 1, 99.9)     3-13   
 503 H Haverhill              MA 1          (11- 8, 83.8)     9- 4   
 505 A Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (10-11, 87.3)    10- 7   
 507 H Masconomet             MA 2          (13- 8, 88.6)    13-11   
 509 A Chelmsford             MA 1          (13-10, 88.6)     6- 7 3o
 514 A Dracut                 MA 2          ( 2-14, 73.8)    16- 4   
 515 H Central Catholic       MA 2          ( 9-10, 83.0)    11- 5   
 518 H Billerica              MA 1          (18- 3, 97.6)     8- 9   
 521 A Waltham                MA 1          ( 3-15, 82.0)    13-11   
 523 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1          ( 9-10, 88.4)     9- 7   
 602 H Lowell                 MA 1          (16- 6, 90.1)    10- 6   
 606 A Boston College HS      MA 1          (15- 5, 94.6)     9- 7   
 610 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (22- 1, 99.9)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Tyngsborough            9- 2       7    13    -     -3.00
   411 H Tewksbury Memorial     11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   413 H Chelmsford             10- 8       2     4    -     -2.82
   419 A Lexington HS            7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.39
   422 A North Andover           9- 7       2     0           1.62
   423 H Lowell                  8- 3       5     3           1.62
   426 A Billerica              13-12  o    1    -5    +++    6.99
   428 H Beverly                10- 9  o    1     0           0.53
   501 A Xaverian Bros           3-13     -10    -8          -1.66
   503 H Haverhill               9- 4       5     9    --    -4.66
   505 A Acton Boxborough       10- 7       3     4          -1.26
   507 H Masconomet             13-11       2     4    -     -2.87
   509 A Chelmsford              6- 7 3o   -1     2    -     -3.95
   514 A Dracut                 16- 4      12    17           0.00
   515 H Central Catholic       11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   518 H Billerica               8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.12
   521 A Waltham                13-11       2     9    ---   -7.56
   523 A Lincoln-Sudbury         9- 7       2     3          -1.12
   602 H Lowell                 10- 6       4     3           0.62
   606 A Boston College HS       9- 7       2    -3    ++     5.03
   610 A Xaverian Bros           6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Waltham                13-11       2     9    ---   -7.56
   411 H Tewksbury Memorial     11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   503 H Haverhill               9- 4       5     9    --    -4.66
   515 H Central Catholic       11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   409 H Tyngsborough            9- 2       7    13    -     -3.00
   413 H Chelmsford             10- 8       2     4    -     -2.82
   419 A Lexington HS            7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.39
   507 H Masconomet             13-11       2     4    -     -2.87
   509 A Chelmsford              6- 7 3o   -1     2    -     -3.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Billerica              13-12  o    1    -5    +++    6.99
   606 A Boston College HS       9- 7       2    -3    ++     5.03
   610 A Xaverian Bros           6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.34
   518 H Billerica               8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.50 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.51 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/