Region = PA    2DNORTH          
   Nickname = A Dragons              Coach  =   Jon Stehle            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.5170670    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Chartiers Valley       PA    2DSOUTH ( 4-11, 79.4)     4-11   
 323 A Canon-McMillan         PA    2DSOUTH ( 6- 7, 83.1)     6-14   
 325 H North Hills            PA    2DNORTH (11- 8, 85.7)     2-15   
 327 A Erie-McDowell          PA    2DNORTH ( 7- 9, 81.2)     8- 9   
 411 A Quaker Valley          PA    2DSOUTH ( 6- 7, 83.6)     3- 9   
 417 A Butler Area            PA    2DNORTH ( 8-10, 81.7)     2- 6   
 419 A Kiski Prep             PA    2DNORTH (14- 8, 89.2)     3-10   
 420 H Fairmont               PA    2DSOUTH ( 4-13, 70.4)     8- 6   
 423 H Shaler Area            PA    2DNORTH ( 7- 9, 79.7)     3-11   
 424 H Baldwin                PA    2DSOUTH ( 7-11, 82.3)     4-14   
 426 A Trinity                PA    2DNORTH (10- 6, 84.3)     6-12   
 508 H Latrobe                PA    2DNORTH ( 3- 7, 75.8)     5- 7   
 509 A Vincentian Academy     PA    2DNORTH ( 6-10, 75.9)     8- 7  o
 512 A Winchester Thurston    PA    2DSOUTH (15- 2, 92.3)     2-11   
 514 A Hampton                PA    1DSOUTH ( 6-10, 88.1)     0-16   
 516 H Cathedral Prep         PA    2DNORTH ( 0-12, 64.3)    14- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Chartiers Valley        4-11      -7    -5          -1.64
   323 A Canon-McMillan          6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
   325 H North Hills             2-15     -13   -11           0.00
   327 A Erie-McDowell           8- 9      -1    -9    +++    8.42
   411 A Quaker Valley           3- 9      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   417 A Butler Area             2- 6      -4    -9    ++     5.97
   419 A Kiski Prep              3-10      -7   -17    +      3.00
   420 H Fairmont                8- 6       2     3          -1.67
   423 H Shaler Area             3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.39
   424 H Baldwin                 4-14     -10    -8          -1.72
   426 A Trinity                 6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   508 H Latrobe                 5- 7      -2    -1          -0.29
   509 A Vincentian Academy      8- 7  o    1    -4    ++     5.15
   512 A Winchester Thurston     2-11      -9   -20           1.00
   514 A Hampton                 0-16     -16   -16           0.00
   516 H Cathedral Prep         14- 6       8     9          -1.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Shaler Area             3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Erie-McDowell           8- 9      -1    -9    +++    8.42
   411 A Quaker Valley           3- 9      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   417 A Butler Area             2- 6      -4    -9    ++     5.97
   426 A Trinity                 6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   509 A Vincentian Academy      8- 7  o    1    -4    ++     5.15
   323 A Canon-McMillan          6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
   419 A Kiski Prep              3-10      -7   -17    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.89 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.90 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/