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Region = CT 1 FCIAC Nickname = T Warriors Coach = Paul McNultyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.1803741 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 A Westhill CT 2 FCIAC ( 3-13, 79.7) 12- 1 409 H Trumbull CT 2 FCIAC (14- 6, 96.7) 13- 6 412 A Fairfield Prep CT 1 SCIAC (11- 9, 87.5) 11- 2 414 A Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC ( 9- 9, 83.3) 7- 1 416 A St Anthony's NY Cath (14- 5, 97.2) 5- 6 419 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC (16- 6, 92.2) 11- 6 423 H Yorktown NY A Sec 1 (17- 4, 99.4) 8- 9 426 H Lakeland/Panas NY A Sec 1 (10- 9, 93.8) 11- 5 430 H Darien CT 1 FCIAC (23- 0, 99.9) 4- 8 503 H Fairfield-Warde CT 1 FCIAC ( 3-13, 76.5) 14- 5 506 H Greenwich CT 1 FCIAC (12- 7, 91.1) 11-10 o 510 A New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (14- 6, 90.8) 9- 6 512 A Ridgefield CT 1 FCIAC ( 7-10, 83.3) 12- 7 517 H Staples-Westport CT 1 FCIAC (12- 6, 90.4) 10- 5 521 H Barlow-Redding CT 1 SWCIAC (12- 6, 90.2) 14- 4 524 A St Joseph-Trumbull CT 2 FCIAC ( 6-10, 86.7) 10- 2 527 H Greenwich CT 1 FCIAC (12- 7, 91.1) 12- 5 531 N New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (14- 6, 90.8) 7- 9 604 H Glastonbury CT 1 CCIAC (11- 6, 87.0) 13- 5 607 H Greenwich CT 1 FCIAC (12- 7, 91.1) 8- 7 611 N Darien CT 1 FCIAC (23- 0, 99.9) 4- 6PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Westhill 12- 1 11 13 n/a 409 H Trumbull 13- 6 7 -1 n/a 412 A Fairfield Prep 11- 2 9 5 + 3.40 414 A Norwalk 7- 1 6 9 - -3.83 416 A St Anthony's 5- 6 -1 -3 n/a 419 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.12 423 H Yorktown 8- 9 -1 -3 n/a 426 H Lakeland/Panas 11- 5 6 1 n/a 430 H Darien 4- 8 -4 -4 0.16 503 H Fairfield-Warde 14- 5 9 19 -1.00 506 H Greenwich 11-10 o 1 4 - -3.61 510 A New Canaan 9- 6 3 2 0.73 512 A Ridgefield 12- 7 5 9 -- -4.77 517 H Staples-Westport 10- 5 5 5 -0.37 521 H Barlow-Redding 14- 4 10 5 ++ 4.50 524 A St Joseph-Trumbull 10- 2 8 6 n/a 527 H Greenwich 12- 5 7 4 + 2.39 531 N New Canaan 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.58 604 H Glastonbury 13- 5 8 8 -0.71 607 H Greenwich 8- 7 1 4 - -3.61 611 N Darien 4- 6 -2 -5 + 3.47UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Ridgefield 12- 7 5 9 -- -4.77 531 N New Canaan 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.58 414 A Norwalk 7- 1 6 9 - -3.83 506 H Greenwich 11-10 o 1 4 - -3.61 607 H Greenwich 8- 7 1 4 - -3.61OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Trumbull 13- 6 7 -1 +++ 419 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.12 426 H Lakeland/Panas 11- 5 6 1 ++ 521 H Barlow-Redding 14- 4 10 5 ++ 4.50 412 A Fairfield Prep 11- 2 9 5 + 3.40 416 A St Anthony's 5- 6 -1 -3 + 423 H Yorktown 8- 9 -1 -3 + 527 H Greenwich 12- 5 7 4 + 2.39 611 N Darien 4- 6 -2 -5 + 3.47/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.43 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 78.44 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 18.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.195.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 2 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3