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Region = NY B Sec 6 Nickname = Y Flames Coach = Ed GreenwayGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.1458588 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Hamburg NY B Sec 6 (18- 3, 97.2) 1- 7 407 H Jamestown NY A Sec 6 ( 2-12, 74.9) 10- 3 411 H Orchard Park NY A Sec 6 (20- 2, 99.9) 1-10 413 H Amherst NY B Sec 6 (17- 5, 95.1) 4- 9 415 A Williamsville South NY B Sec 6 ( 5-12, 77.7) 4- 5 o 419 H St Francis NY A Sec 6 (18- 2, 94.1) 4-13 426 H Canisius NY A Sec 6 (13- 6, 89.0) 6- 5 o 428 A West Seneca West NY A Sec 6 ( 3-13, 79.0) 3- 5 502 A Sweet Home NY B Sec 6 ( 8-11, 83.8) 9- 8 2o 503 A Iroquois NY B Sec 6 ( 5- 9, 80.4) 8-10 506 A Frontier NY A Sec 6 (11- 7, 90.4) 1-11 507 H Grand Island NY B Sec 6 ( 9-10, 84.9) 1- 7 510 H Clarence NY A Sec 6 ( 2-14, 72.6) 12- 5 512 A Lancaster NY A Sec 6 (10- 5, 90.4) 3- 8 516 H Williamsville North NY A Sec 6 (12- 6, 88.9) 0- 7 518 A West Seneca East NY B Sec 6 ( 5-14, 78.4) 2- 3 520 A Amherst NY B Sec 6 (17- 5, 95.1) 3-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Hamburg 1- 7 -6 -17 ++ 4.00 407 H Jamestown 10- 3 7 6 0.86 411 H Orchard Park 1-10 -9 -18 1.00 413 H Amherst 4- 9 -5 -13 ++ 5.00 415 A Williamsville South 4- 5 o -1 1 - -2.66 419 H St Francis 4-13 -9 -12 1.00 426 H Canisius 6- 5 o 1 -7 +++ 8.97 428 A West Seneca West 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.31 502 A Sweet Home 9- 8 2o 1 -4 ++ 5.42 503 A Iroquois 8-10 -2 -1 -0.95 506 A Frontier 1-11 -10 -11 0.00 507 H Grand Island 1- 7 -6 -3 - -2.15 510 H Clarence 12- 5 7 8 -1.52 512 A Lancaster 3- 8 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 516 H Williamsville North 0- 7 -7 -7 0.81 518 A West Seneca East 2- 3 -1 0 -1.96 520 A Amherst 3-14 -11 -15 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Williamsville South 4- 5 o -1 1 - -2.66 428 A West Seneca West 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.31 507 H Grand Island 1- 7 -6 -3 - -2.15OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H Canisius 6- 5 o 1 -7 +++ 8.97 405 A Hamburg 1- 7 -6 -17 ++ 4.00 413 H Amherst 4- 9 -5 -13 ++ 5.00 502 A Sweet Home 9- 8 2o 1 -4 ++ 5.42 512 A Lancaster 3- 8 -5 -11 ++ 5.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.21 Local Power Rank........... 18 Local SOS Rating......... 70.88 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 19 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 23 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 19 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 4.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-13 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.3