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Region = CT 2 ECIAC Nickname = T Bears Coach = Tom TsagaratisGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.1462860 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 H Suffield HS CT 2 NWCIAC (11- 6, 90.1) 11-15 408 A Old Lyme CT 2 Indep (15- 1, 99.9) 5-14 411 A St Bernard CT 2 ECIAC ( 3-12, 75.4) 16- 6 414 H Norwich Tech CT 2 Indep ( 0-14, 69.2) 11- 0 415 A Williams NE East-2 ( 6- 6, 75.6) 10- 4 418 H Morgan-Clinton CT 2 Indep ( 8-10, 87.1) 12-13 o 426 H Fitch-Groton CT 2 ECIAC (12- 7, 90.3) 8- 9 2o 428 H Tolland CT 2 NWCIAC (11- 7, 90.2) 9-12 430 A Woodstock Academy CT 2 ECIAC ( 5-11, 78.0) 7- 5 503 A Wheeler-No Stonington CT 2 ECIAC ( 3-11, 73.3) 12- 0 509 A Ledyard CT 2 ECIAC ( 8- 8, 86.9) 11-14 516 H East Lyme CT 1 ECIAC ( 9- 9, 81.2) 6-16 519 H Norwich Free Academy CT 2 ECIAC ( 5-11, 79.9) 13- 5 521 H Avon HS CT 2 NWCIAC ( 9- 9, 87.9) 13-17 523 H Notre Dame-Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC ( 6-10, 87.2) 7-10 526 N Fitch-Groton CT 2 ECIAC (12- 7, 90.3) 3-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Suffield HS 11-15 -4 -4 0.68 408 A Old Lyme 5-14 -9 -15 1.00 411 A St Bernard 16- 6 10 8 1.49 414 H Norwich Tech 11- 0 11 16 0.00 415 A Williams 10- 4 6 8 n/a 418 H Morgan-Clinton 12-13 o -1 -1 0.70 426 H Fitch-Groton 8- 9 2o -1 -4 + 3.88 428 H Tolland 9-12 -3 -4 1.84 430 A Woodstock Academy 7- 5 2 5 - -3.89 503 A Wheeler-No Stonington 12- 0 12 10 0.00 509 A Ledyard 11-14 -3 -3 0.01 516 H East Lyme 6-16 -10 4 n/a 519 H Norwich Free Academy 13- 5 8 5 + 2.52 521 H Avon HS 13-17 -4 -2 -1.54 523 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 7-10 -3 -1 -1.22 526 N Fitch-Groton 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.38UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 H East Lyme 6-16 -10 4 --- 526 N Fitch-Groton 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.38 415 A Williams 10- 4 6 8 - 430 A Woodstock Academy 7- 5 2 5 - -3.89OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H Fitch-Groton 8- 9 2o -1 -4 + 3.88 519 H Norwich Free Academy 13- 5 8 5 + 2.52/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.66 Local Power Rank........... 21 Local SOS Rating......... 65.55 Local SOS Rank............. 31 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 24 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 32 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 26 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7